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Serie B
Referee: S Galipo
Catanzaro
T S S S S
2–2
Full-time
Frosinone
U T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Catanzaro Frosinone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie B · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 52%
46%
58%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
46%
54%
Both score Ø 54%
54%
54%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,4
1,8
Conceded
1,0
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3,16 xG 2,23
49% Possession 51%
22 Shots 22
8 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 10
5 Goalkeeper saves 6
3 Corners 9
3 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Catanzaro 5. · Frosinone 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Venezia 27 17 6 4 +29 +22.5 57
2 Monza 27 17 6 4 +21 +12.3 57
3 Frosinone 26 15 8 3 +24 +6.1 53
4 Palermo 26 14 9 3 +26 +8.4 51
5 Catanzaro 26 12 8 6 +10 -0.7 44
6 Modena 27 12 7 8 +14 +5.6 43
7 Juve Stabia 27 9 12 6 +0 +2.6 39
8 Cesena 27 11 5 11 -3 +5.2 38
9 Sudtirol 27 7 13 7 -1 -3.2 34
10 Padova 27 8 9 10 -5 -6.4 33
11 Empoli 27 7 10 10 -4 +1.9 31
12 Carrarese 26 7 9 10 -5 -7.1 30
13 Avellino 27 7 9 11 -12 -14.1 30
14 Reggiana 27 7 8 12 -7 -4.1 29
15 Sampdoria 27 7 8 12 -8 +1.6 29
16 Mantova 26 7 5 14 -15 -1.8 26
17 Spezia 27 6 7 14 -12 -0.0 25
18 Virtus Entella 27 5 10 12 -15 -9.7 25
19 Bari 27 5 10 12 -16 -14.5 25
20 Pescara 26 3 9 14 -21 -4.6 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Catanzaro Frosinone
28′
🟨 Anthony Oyono
1–0 R. Frosinini
45′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 M. Liberali
F. Pittarello
46′
49′
M. Cichella 2–1
54′
🔁 M. Zilli
↦ G. Kvernadze
55′
🔁 A. Fiori
↦ A. Raimondo
67′
A. Fiori 2–2
A. Oyono
68′
🟨 Antonio Fiori
M. D'Alessandro 🔁
↦ Matias Antonini
68′
M. Pompetti 🔁
↦ S. Pontisso
68′
70′
🔁 J. Oyono
↦ A. Oyono
P. Nuamah 🔁
↦ F. Pittarello
77′
N. Koffi 🔁
↦ R. Frosinini
84′
B. Verrengia 🔁
↦ M. Liberali
84′
Pietro Iemmello 🟨
89′
89′
🟨 Giorgio Cittadini
90′
🔁 F. Gelli
↦ I. Koutsoupias
90′
🔁 N. Corrado
↦ R. Marchizza
94′
🟨 Jérémy Oyono
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Catanzaro

3-4-2-1
22 M. Pigliacelli G
84 T. Cassandro D
4 Matias Antonini D
23 N. Brighenti D
27 C. Favasuli M
10 J. Petriccione M
20 S. Pontisso M
62 R. Frosinini M
14 M. Liberali F
9 P. Iemmello F
8 F. Pittarello F
Bench (12)
1 C. Marietta
77 M. D'Alessandro
21 M. Pompetti
98 D. Buglio
30 G. Alesi
5 E. Bashi
6 Fellipe Jack
39 N. Koffi
26 B. Verrengia
2 G. Esteves
19 P. Nuamah
32 F. Rispoli

Coach: Alberto Aquilani

Frosinone

4-3-3
22 L. Palmisani G
21 A. Oyono D
2 G. Cittadini D
3 G. Calvani D
5 R. Marchizza D
14 G. Calo M
8 I. Koutsoupias M
16 M. Cichella M
7 F. Ghedjemis F
9 A. Raimondo F
17 G. Kvernadze F
Bench (12)
75 M. Pisseri
12 E. Lolic
10 F. Gelli
90 E. Vergani
92 B. L. Kone
28 M. Zilli
80 A. Fiori
20 J. Oyono
40 S. Fini
32 E. Masciangelo
19 N. Corrado
6 J. Gelli

Coach: Massimiliano Alvini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,66
U ✓
3,15
B
2,51
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,73
U2,5
1,99
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Galipo · 23 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.