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La Liga
Referee: Alejandro Ruiz Aguilera
Mallorca
T T U S T
2–2
Full-time
Barcelona
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mallorca Barcelona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
17%
100%
Points per game
0,8
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
4,5
Scored
1,2
3,5
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+2,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,8
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,7
Scored
1,2
2,7
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

0,79 xG 1,89
30% Possession 70%
10 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 2
6 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 7
4 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mallorca 17. · Barcelona 1.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Barcelona 6 5 1 0 +10 +7.3 16
2 Girona 6 5 1 0 +9 +3.3 16
3 Real Madrid 6 5 0 1 +5 +3.8 15
4 Ath Bilbao 6 4 1 1 +7 +5.6 13
5 Ath Madrid 5 3 1 1 +8 +3.2 10
6 Valencia 6 3 1 2 +3 +0.5 10
7 Vallecano 6 3 1 2 -2 +0.6 10
8 Sociedad 6 2 3 1 +2 +1.2 9
9 Cadiz 6 2 2 2 -2 -3.0 8
10 Betis 6 2 2 2 -5 -2.2 8
11 Sevilla 6 2 1 3 +2 -1.0 7
12 Osasuna 6 2 1 3 -1 -0.7 7
13 Villarreal 6 2 1 3 -2 -1.7 7
14 Getafe 6 2 1 3 -3 -3.6 7
15 Alaves 6 2 0 4 -4 -2.7 6
16 Las Palmas 6 1 2 3 -2 -1.9 5
17 Mallorca 6 1 2 3 -3 -1.9 5
18 Celta 6 1 1 4 -4 -0.6 4
19 Granada 6 1 0 5 -8 -6.9 3
20 Almeria 7 0 2 5 -10 +0.9 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mallorca Barcelona
Pablo Maffeo 🟥
-5′
1–0 Vedat Muriqi
Antonio Sánchez
8′
Jaume Costa 🔁
↦ Pablo Maffeo
35′
36′
🟨 Oriol Romeu
41′
Raphinha 1–1
Half-time 2–1
2–1 Abdón Prats
Vedat Muriqi
48′
Dani Rodríguez 🟨
48′
58′
🔁 Robert Lewandowski
↦ Ferran Torres
Matija Nastasić 🟨
61′
Cyle Larin 🔁
↦ Antonio Sánchez
62′
Sergi Darder 🔁
↦ Abdón Prats
62′
64′
🔁 Lamine Yamal
↦ João Félix
64′
🔁 Fermín López
↦ Oriol Romeu
67′
ℹ️ Lamine Yamal
VAR: Penalty cancelled
75′
Fermín López 2–2
Raphinha
78′
🔁 Jules Koundé
↦ Iñigo Martínez
Giovanni González 🟨
84′
Manu Morlanes 🔁
↦ Dani Rodríguez
85′
Siebe Van Der Heyden 🔁
↦ Giovanni González
85′
Siebe Van Der Heyden 🟨
98′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Mallorca

5-3-2
1 Predrag Rajković G
20 Giovanni González D
24 Martin Valjent D
2 Matija Nastasić D
6 José Copete D
15 Pablo Maffeo D
18 Antonio Sánchez M
12 Samuel Costa M
14 Dani Rodríguez M
9 Abdón Prats F
7 Vedat Muriqi F
Bench (12)
11 Jaume Costa
10 Sergi Darder
17 Cyle Larin
4 Siebe Van Der Heyden
8 Manu Morlanes
25 Iván Cuéllar
13 Dominik Greif
27 David López
5 Omar Mascarell
26 Ruben Quintanilla
19 Javi Llabrés
23 Amath Ndiaye

Coach: J. Aguirre

Barcelona

4-3-3
1 Marc-André ter Stegen G
2 João Cancelo D
4 Ronald Araújo D
5 Iñigo Martínez D
3 Alejandro Baldé D
22 İlkay Gündoğan M
18 Oriol Romeu M
6 Gavi M
11 Raphinha F
7 Ferran Torres F
14 João Félix F
Bench (9)
9 Robert Lewandowski
32 Fermín López
27 Lamine Yamal
23 Jules Koundé
26 Ander Astralaga
13 Iñaki Peña
17 Marcos Alonso
20 Sergi Roberto
15 Andreas Christensen

Coach: Xavi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
6,89
U ✓
4,38
B
1,50
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,86
U2,5
1,98
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.