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Puchar Polski
Referee: P Urban
Kalisz
S U S T U
2–3
Full-time
LKS Lodz
S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kalisz LKS Lodz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
4,0
2,0
Scored
2,3
0,7
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wisła Puławy 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Piast Gliwice 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 Widzew Lodz 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Znicz Pruszków 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 Stal Rzeszów 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Podbeskidzie 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Arka Gdynia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
9 Chojniczanka Chojnice 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 Polonia Warszawa 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Radunia Stężyca 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 Garbarnia Kraków 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 Kotwica Kołobrzeg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 Korona Kielce 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 Puszcza 1 1 0 0 +1 3
16 Motor Lublin 2 1 0 1 +0 3
17 Pogoń Siedlce 2 1 0 1 -1 3
18 Kalisz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
19 Jastrzębie 1 0 1 0 +0 1
20 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
21 Olimpia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
22 Stomil Olsztyn 1 0 0 1 -1 0
23 Sandecja Nowy Sącz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
24 Zagłębie Lubin II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
25 Jagiellonia II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
26 Lech Poznań II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
27 Chrobry Głogów 1 0 0 1 -2 0
28 Legnica 1 0 0 1 -2 0
29 Hutnik Kraków 1 0 0 1 -2 0
30 Śląsk Wrocław II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
31 Górnik Polkowice 1 0 0 1 -3 0
32 Miedź Legnica II 1 0 0 1 -3 0
33 Wieczysta Krakow 1 0 0 1 -4 0
34 Start Krasnystaw 1 0 0 1 -4 0
35 Concordia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kalisz LKS Lodz
1–0 M. Żebrowski
11′
M. Bialczyk 🟨
19′
21′
🟨 A. Marciniak
M. Zebrowski 🟨
34′
W. Smolinski 🟨
37′
39′
A. Fase 1–1
Half-time 1–2
46′
P. Janczukowicz 1–2
F. Szewczyk 🔁
↦ M. Białczyk
46′
J. Głaz 🔁
↦ M. Żebrowski
46′
K. Koczy 🔁
↦ W. Smoliński
46′
63′
🔁 E. Hoti
↦ A. Małachowski
63′
🔁 M. Śliwa
↦ Dani Ramírez
63′
🔁 S. Jurić
↦ A. Fase
K. Arai 🔁
↦ H. Sobol
65′
65′
S. Jurić 1–3
O. Kalenik 🔁
↦ M. Wysokiński
68′
F. Szewczyk 🟨
71′
72′
🔁 R. Gonçalves
↦ J. Łabędzki
2–3 Néstor Gordillo
82′
85′
🟨 D. Arndt
87′
🔁 P. Głowacki
↦ A. Tutyškinas
93′
🟨 E. Hoti
94′
🟨
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Kalisz

M. Furtak
B. Kieliba
W. Smoliński
M. Białczyk
A. Cierpka
Néstor Gordillo
B. Gęsior
B. Putno
M. Wysokiński
M. Żebrowski
H. Sobol
Bench (9)
F. Szewczyk
J. Głaz
K. Koczy
K. Arai
O. Kalenik
K. Janiak
M. Gawlik
M. Krakowiak
W. Staszak

Coach: P. Ozga

LKS Lodz

D. Arndt
A. Marciniak
L. Gülen
M. Lorenc
A. Louveau
A. Tutyškinas
Dani Ramírez
A. Małachowski
J. Łabędzki
A. Fase
P. Janczukowicz
Bench (9)
E. Hoti
M. Śliwa
S. Jurić
R. Gonçalves
P. Głowacki
A. Bobek
G. Glapka
M. Mokrzycki
Pirulo

Coach: K. Moskal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.