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Serie B
Referee: D Rutella
Lecco
T T U
1–2
Full-time
FeralpiSalo
T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lecco FeralpiSalo
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,3
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
1,0
0,2
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,8
This season — Serie B · 3/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,3
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
1,0
0,2
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
13 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 1
2 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lecco 18. · FeralpiSalo 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 6 4 2 0 +10 14
2 Venezia 6 3 3 0 +5 12
3 Modena 5 3 2 0 +4 11
4 Catanzaro 6 3 2 1 +0 11
5 Palermo 5 3 1 1 +5 10
6 Como 5 3 1 1 +2 10
7 Sudtirol 5 2 3 0 +4 9
8 Cosenza 6 2 2 2 +2 8
9 Bari 6 1 5 0 +1 8
10 Cittadella 6 2 2 2 -3 8
11 Brescia 3 2 1 0 +3 7
12 Cremonese 6 1 4 1 +0 7
13 Pisa 5 2 1 2 +0 7
14 Reggiana 6 1 3 2 -2 6
15 Sampdoria 6 1 2 3 -3 5
16 Ascoli 6 1 1 4 -4 4
17 Ternana 6 0 2 4 -4 2
18 Lecco 3 0 1 2 -3 1
19 Spezia 5 0 1 4 -6 1
20 FeralpiSalo 6 0 1 5 -11 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lecco FeralpiSalo
28′
🟨 Davide Balestrero
Half-time 0–0
L. Giudici 🔁
↦ D. Guglielmotti
46′
N. Buso 🔁
↦ L. Di Stefano
46′
46′
🔁 V. Parigini
↦ M. Compagnon
51′
D. Balestrero 0–1
V. Parigini
1–1 N. Buso
F. Lepore
52′
54′
M. Felici 1–2
B. Martella
Luca Marrone 🟨
57′
A. Sersanti 🔁
↦ G. Crociata
58′
65′
🔁 K. Butić
↦ A. La Mantia
65′
🔁 M. Zennaro
↦ C. Kourfalidis
U. Eusepi 🔁
↦ A. Ioniţă
68′
71′
🟨 Luca Ceppitelli
D. Degli Innocenti 🔁
↦ G. Galli
72′
78′
🔁 D. Di Molfetta
↦ M. Felici
82′
🟨 Semuel Pizzignacco
Duccio Degli Innocenti 🟨
83′
88′
🔁 L. Bacchetti
↦ L. Fiordilino
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Lecco

3-5-2
22 U. Saracco G
13 M. Battistini D
34 L. Marrone D
17 A. Caporale D
44 D. Guglielmotti M
27 A. Ioniţă M
96 G. Galli M
21 G. Crociata M
32 F. Lepore M
90 A. Novaković F
73 L. Di Stefano F
Bench (12)
7 L. Giudici
99 N. Buso
8 A. Sersanti
9 U. Eusepi
5 D. Degli Innocenti
12 L. Bonadeo
6 A. Bianconi
18 L. Pinzauti
2 V. Celjak
16 J. Tenkorang
83 M. Lemmens
20 F. Donati

Coach: L. Foschi

FeralpiSalo

4-3-3
1 S. Pizzignacco G
94 G. Letizia D
23 L. Ceppitelli D
19 A. Pilati D
87 B. Martella D
39 C. Kourfalidis M
16 L. Fiordilino M
8 D. Balestrero M
14 M. Compagnon F
91 A. La Mantia F
97 M. Felici F
Bench (12)
70 V. Parigini
9 K. Butić
20 M. Zennaro
10 D. Di Molfetta
6 L. Bacchetti
66 F. Bergonzi
61 G. Volpe
3 M. Tonetto
99 A. Pietrelli
27 D. Hergheligiu
25 M. Sau
34 S. Minelli

Coach: S. Vecchi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,48
U
3,03
B ✓
3,03
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,37
U2,5
1,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Rutella · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.