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Puchar Polski
Referee: D Krumplewski
1–2
Full-time
Korona Kielce
T S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Znicz Pruszków 1 1 0 0 +3 3
2 Stal Rzeszów 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Wisła Puławy 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Chojniczanka Chojnice 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Polonia Warszawa 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Pogoń Siedlce 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Radunia Stężyca 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Garbarnia Kraków 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Kotwica Kołobrzeg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Motor Lublin 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Kalisz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Jastrzębie 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Olimpia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Stomil Olsztyn 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Sandecja Nowy Sącz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Zagłębie Lubin II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Lech Poznań II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Hutnik Kraków 1 0 0 1 -2 0
20 Śląsk Wrocław II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
21 Górnik Polkowice 1 0 0 1 -3 0
22 Miedź Legnica II 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Jagiellonia II Korona Kielce
1–0 M. Wasilewski
6′
S. Pankiewicz 🟨
10′
16′
🟨 B. Kwiecien
21′
Adrián Dalmau 1–1
M. Wasilewski 🟨
30′
J. Orpik 🟨
36′
42′
R. Deaconu 1–2
44′
🟨 Y. Hofmayster
Half-time 1–2
K. Huczko 🔁
↦ S. Pankiewicz
46′
Vinícius Matheus 🔁
↦ K. Toporkiewicz
46′
46′
🔁 Nono
↦ Y. Hofmeister
65′
🔁 E. Shikavka
↦ Adrián Dalmau
65′
🔁 J. Podgórski
↦ M. Czyżycki
E. Matus 🔁
↦ M. Samborski
66′
M. Twarowski 🔁
↦ J. Orpik
76′
76′
🔁 M. Remacle
↦ R. Deaconu
M. Mościcki 🔁
↦ M. Zielecki
83′
E. Matus 🟨
87′
95′
🟨 D. Blanik
96′
🟨 Y. Shikavka
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Jagiellonia II

M. Piekutowski
M. Ozga
S. Pankiewicz
P. Czerech
D. Kobus
M. Wasilewski
K. Toporkiewicz
J. Orpik
M. Zielecki
D. Wojdakowski
M. Samborski
Bench (8)
K. Huczko
Vinícius Matheus
E. Matus
M. Twarowski
M. Mościcki
B. Żynel
G. Żukowski
J. Burkowski

Coach: A. Żurański

Korona Kielce

K. Forenc
B. Kwiecień
D. Zator
M. Trojak
R. Deaconu
D. Błanik
M. Czyżycki
Y. Hofmeister
J. Konstantyn
M. Strzeboński
Adrián Dalmau
Bench (8)
Nono
E. Shikavka
J. Podgórski
M. Remacle
M. Godinho
P. Malarczyk
X. Dziekoński
R. Turek

Coach: K. Kuzera

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.