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Puchar Polski
Referee: Ł Szczech
1–2
Full-time
Stal Mielec
T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Odra Opole Stal Mielec
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
1,0
3,2
Scored
0,0
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wisła Puławy 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Piast Gliwice 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 Widzew Lodz 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Znicz Pruszków 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 Stal Rzeszów 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Podbeskidzie 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Arka Gdynia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
9 Chojniczanka Chojnice 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 Polonia Warszawa 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Radunia Stężyca 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 Garbarnia Kraków 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 Kotwica Kołobrzeg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 Korona Kielce 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 Puszcza 1 1 0 0 +1 3
16 Motor Lublin 2 1 0 1 +0 3
17 Pogoń Siedlce 2 1 0 1 -1 3
18 Kalisz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
19 Jastrzębie 1 0 1 0 +0 1
20 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
21 Olimpia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
22 Stomil Olsztyn 1 0 0 1 -1 0
23 Sandecja Nowy Sącz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
24 Zagłębie Lubin II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
25 Jagiellonia II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
26 Lech Poznań II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
27 Chrobry Głogów 1 0 0 1 -2 0
28 Legnica 1 0 0 1 -2 0
29 Hutnik Kraków 1 0 0 1 -2 0
30 Śląsk Wrocław II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
31 Górnik Polkowice 1 0 0 1 -3 0
32 Miedź Legnica II 1 0 0 1 -3 0
33 Wieczysta Krakow 1 0 0 1 -4 0
34 Start Krasnystaw 1 0 0 1 -4 0
35 Concordia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Odra Opole Stal Mielec
1′
K. Meriluoto 0–1
32′
D. Czapliński 1–1
own goal
37′
🟨 M. Ehmann
Half-time 1–1
D. Sula 🔁
↦ T. Mikinič
46′
M. Urbańczyk 🔁
↦ W. Kamiński
46′
49′
🟨 M. Guillaumier
2–1 Borja Galán
55′
61′
🔁 K. Hinokio
↦ A. Jaunzems
61′
🔁 P. Wlazło
↦ Rafa Santos
65′
🟨 K. Hinokio
74′
🔁 M. Trąbka
↦ K. Meriluoto
74′
🔁 Ł. Wolsztyński
↦ M. Domański
M. Hebel 🔁
↦ D. Czapliński
77′
M. Surzyn 🔁
↦ J. Antczak
78′
A. Pikk 🟨
82′
84′
🟨 K. Wolkowicz
94′
🟨 P. Wlazlo
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Odra Opole

D. Kalinowski
A. Pikk
P. Żemło
J. Piroch
J. Szrek
T. Mikinič
A. Purzycki
W. Kamiński
J. Antczak
Borja Galán
D. Czapliński
Bench (9)
D. Sula
M. Urbańczyk
M. Hebel
M. Surzyn
J. Burta
M. Kamiński
M. Spychała
M. Wróbel
R. Niziołek

Coach: A. Nocoń

Stal Mielec

K. Jałocha
Leândro
M. Matras
K. Wołkowicz
M. Ehmann
M. Domański
M. Guillaumier
Rafa Santos
A. Jaunzems
M. Stępień
K. Meriluoto
Bench (9)
K. Hinokio
P. Wlazło
M. Trąbka
Ł. Wolsztyński
B. Esselink
I. Shkurin
J. Rozwadowski
K. Getinger
M. Dudek

Coach: K. Kiereś

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.