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Ekstraklasa
Referee: D Sylwestrzak
2–1
Full-time
Legia
U U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pogon Szczecin Legia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
This season — Ekstraklasa · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 52%
47%
57%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
57%
50%
Both score Ø 57%
63%
50%
Average goals
2,9
2,7
Scored
1,6
1,6
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
16 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 4
3 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Pogon Szczecin 4. · Legia 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rakow 31 22 5 4 +40 71
2 Legia 30 17 9 4 +16 60
3 Lech Poznan 31 14 10 7 +15 52
4 Pogon Szczecin 30 14 9 7 +6 51
5 Piast Gliwice 31 13 7 11 +5 46
6 Warta Poznan 31 12 8 11 +4 44
7 Cracovia 31 11 9 11 +4 42
8 Gornik Zabrze 31 11 8 12 +0 41
9 Jagiellonia 31 9 13 9 +5 40
10 Stal Mielec 31 10 9 12 -3 39
11 Widzew Lodz 30 10 8 12 -4 38
12 Radomiak Radom 31 10 8 13 -6 38
13 Korona Kielce 31 10 8 13 -8 38
14 Zaglebie 31 10 8 13 -12 38
15 Wisla Plock 31 10 7 14 -3 37
16 Slask Wroclaw 31 7 11 13 -15 32
17 Lechia Gdansk 31 7 5 19 -26 26
18 Legnica 30 4 10 16 -18 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Pogon Szczecin Legia
1–0 M. Łęgowski
L. Zahovič
10′
36′
🟨 Artur Jędrzejczyk
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Rosołek
↦ T. Pekhart
46′
🔁 I. Strzałek
↦ B. Kapustka
48′
M. Rosołek 1–1
M. Nawrocki
S. Kowalczyk 🔁
↦ L. Zahovič
63′
64′
🔁 Carlitos
↦ E. Muçi
M. Malec 🔁
↦ P. Stolarski
68′
V. Bichakhchyan 🔁
↦ A. Gorgon
68′
79′
🔁 J. Çelhaka
↦ B. Slisz
M. Wędrychowski 🔁
↦ M. Łęgowski
85′
R. Kurzawa 🔁
↦ P. Almqvist
85′
85′
🔁 B. Kramer
↦ P. Wszołek
2–1 V. Bichakhchyan
S. Kowalczyk
88′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Pogon Szczecin

4-2-3-1
1 D. Stipica G
41 P. Stolarski D
68 D. Lončar D
23 B. Zech D
32 L. Koútris D
99 M. Łęgowski M
8 D. Dąbrowski M
9 P. Almqvist M
20 A. Gorgon M
11 K. Grosicki M
10 L. Zahovič F
Bench (9)
27 S. Kowalczyk
33 M. Malec
22 V. Bichakhchyan
15 M. Wędrychowski
7 R. Kurzawa
4 Léo Borges
13 K. Triantafyllópoulos
61 K. Smoliński
81 B. Klebaniuk

Coach: J. Gustafsson

Legia

3-4-1-2
1 K. Tobiasz G
17 M. Nawrocki D
55 A. Jędrzejczyk D
5 Yuri Ribeiro D
13 P. Wszołek M
99 B. Slisz M
67 B. Kapustka M
28 M. Baku M
27 Josué F
7 T. Pekhart F
20 E. Muçi F
Bench (9)
39 M. Rosołek
86 I. Strzałek
19 Carlitos
16 J. Çelhaka
9 B. Kramer
11 R. Pich
18 P. Sokołowski
14 I. Kharatin
30 D. Hładun

Coach: K. Runjaić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Sylwestrzak · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.