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Serie B

Referee: S Galipò

Catanzaro

U S U U S

4–2

Full-time

Cesena

T T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Catanzaro Cesena

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

1,8

1,5

Scored

1,0

0,5

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,5

This season — Serie B · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 31%

26%

35%

Points per game

1,4

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

43%

Both score Ø 57%

57%

Average goals

2,2

2,6

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

45% Possession 55%

8 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

1 Corners 4

0 Offside 5

15 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Catanzaro 6. · Cesena 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	23	16	4	3	+26	52
2	Pisa	24	15	6	3	+18	51
3	Spezia	23	12	9	2	+21	45
4	Cremonese	23	10	7	6	+10	37
5	Juve Stabia	23	8	9	6	-1	33
6	Catanzaro	23	6	14	3	+5	32
7	Bari	23	6	12	5	+4	30
8	Palermo	24	8	6	10	+2	30
9	Cesena	23	8	6	9	+0	30
10	Reggiana	23	7	7	9	-2	28
11	Mantova	23	6	10	7	-3	28
12	Cittadella	23	7	7	9	-12	28
13	Modena	23	5	12	6	-1	27
14	Carrarese	23	7	6	10	-8	27
15	Brescia	23	5	10	8	-4	25
16	Cosenza	23	4	10	9	-7	22
17	Sampdoria	23	4	10	9	-8	22
18	Sudtirol	23	6	4	13	-13	22
19	Salernitana	23	5	6	12	-11	21
20	Frosinone	23	4	9	10	-16	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	12	9	3	0	+15	30
2	Sassuolo	11	9	1	1	+18	28
3	Spezia	11	8	3	0	+15	27
4	Cesena	12	6	4	2	+6	22
5	Carrarese	11	6	3	2	+4	21
6	Mantova	11	5	4	2	+3	19
7	Catanzaro	12	4	6	2	+5	18
8	Palermo	12	5	3	4	+4	18
9	Bari	12	4	6	2	+3	18
10	Juve Stabia	11	5	3	3	+0	18
11	Modena	11	4	5	2	+4	17
12	Cremonese	12	4	5	3	+0	17
13	Reggiana	12	4	4	4	+0	16
14	Salernitana	12	4	3	5	-1	15
15	Brescia	12	3	5	4	+0	14
16	Cittadella	11	2	6	3	-1	12
17	Cosenza	12	2	6	4	-3	12
18	Frosinone	12	2	5	5	-8	11
19	Sampdoria	11	2	4	5	-3	10
20	Sudtirol	11	2	3	6	-8	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	12	7	3	2	+8	24
2	Pisa	12	6	3	3	+3	21
3	Cremonese	11	6	2	3	+10	20
4	Spezia	12	4	6	2	+6	18
5	Cittadella	12	5	1	6	-11	16
6	Juve Stabia	12	3	6	3	-1	15
7	Catanzaro	11	2	8	1	+0	14
8	Sudtirol	12	4	1	7	-5	13
9	Bari	11	2	6	3	+1	12
10	Palermo	12	3	3	6	-2	12
11	Reggiana	11	3	3	5	-2	12
12	Sampdoria	12	2	6	4	-5	12
13	Brescia	11	2	5	4	-4	11
14	Cosenza	11	2	4	5	-4	10
15	Modena	12	1	7	4	-5	10
16	Frosinone	11	2	4	5	-8	10
17	Mantova	12	1	6	5	-6	9
18	Cesena	11	2	2	7	-6	8
19	Salernitana	11	1	3	7	-10	6
20	Carrarese	12	1	3	8	-12	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.