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Ekstraklasa

Referee: D Kos

Pogon Szczecin

T S U S U

1–0

Full-time

Zaglebie

T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pogon Szczecin Zaglebie

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,2

3,3

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 36%

44%

28%

Points per game

1,5

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

44%

39%

Both score Ø 39%

39%

Average goals

2,6

2,4

Scored

1,4

0,9

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,17 xG 0,37

59% Possession 41%

19 Shots 7

8 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 7

9 Corners 5

0 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 9

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Pogon Szczecin 8. · Zaglebie 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	19	13	2	4	+22	+11.6	41
2	Rakow	19	10	7	2	+14	+9.9	37
3	Jagiellonia	18	10	5	3	+7	-1.1	35
4	Legia	18	9	5	4	+13	+8.9	32
5	Cracovia	19	9	5	5	+8	-0.1	32
6	Gornik Zabrze	18	9	3	6	+6	+4.4	30
7	Motor Lublin	19	8	5	6	-3	-1.5	29
8	Pogon Szczecin	18	8	3	7	+4	+7.3	27
9	GKS Katowice	19	7	5	7	+3	+0.9	26
10	Widzew Lodz	19	7	4	8	-4	-3.2	25
11	Piast Gliwice	18	5	7	6	+0	-2.6	22
12	Radomiak Radom	18	6	2	10	-3	+0.4	20
13	Stal Mielec	19	5	4	10	-6	+4.6	19
14	Zaglebie	18	5	4	9	-11	-5.3	19
15	Puszcza	18	4	6	8	-9	-11.0	18
16	Korona Kielce	18	4	6	8	-12	-3.1	18
17	Lechia Gdansk	19	3	6	10	-15	-16.2	15
18	Slask Wroclaw	18	1	7	10	-14	-4.1	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	10	9	0	1	+20	+10.0	27
2	Pogon Szczecin	9	7	1	1	+10	+8.3	22
3	Legia	9	6	1	2	+11	+6.9	19
4	Jagiellonia	9	5	3	1	+6	+3.4	18
5	Gornik Zabrze	9	5	1	3	+4	+5.5	16
6	Widzew Lodz	9	5	1	3	+2	-0.6	16
7	Rakow	9	4	3	2	+6	+6.0	15
8	GKS Katowice	10	4	3	3	+4	-1.8	15
9	Stal Mielec	9	4	3	2	+3	+8.0	15
10	Motor Lublin	10	4	3	3	+0	-0.3	15
11	Cracovia	10	3	4	3	+1	+0.7	13
12	Puszcza	9	3	4	2	+0	-2.7	13
13	Zaglebie	9	4	1	4	-1	-1.8	13
14	Radomiak Radom	9	3	2	4	+2	+3.0	11
15	Piast Gliwice	9	2	5	2	+1	-1.3	11
16	Korona Kielce	9	2	2	5	-5	+1.7	8
17	Lechia Gdansk	9	2	2	5	-7	-9.6	8
18	Slask Wroclaw	9	1	4	4	-4	-1.0	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	10	6	4	0	+8	+3.9	22
2	Cracovia	9	6	1	2	+7	-0.8	19
3	Jagiellonia	9	5	2	2	+1	-4.5	17
4	Gornik Zabrze	9	4	2	3	+2	-1.2	14
5	Lech Poznan	9	4	2	3	+2	+1.6	14
6	Motor Lublin	9	4	2	3	-3	-1.2	14
7	Legia	9	3	4	2	+2	+2.0	13
8	GKS Katowice	9	3	2	4	-1	+2.7	11
9	Piast Gliwice	9	3	2	4	-1	-1.3	11
10	Korona Kielce	9	2	4	3	-7	-4.8	10
11	Radomiak Radom	9	3	0	6	-5	-2.5	9
12	Widzew Lodz	10	2	3	5	-6	-2.6	9
13	Lechia Gdansk	10	1	4	5	-8	-6.6	7
14	Zaglebie	9	1	3	5	-10	-3.5	6
15	Pogon Szczecin	9	1	2	6	-6	-1.0	5
16	Puszcza	9	1	2	6	-9	-8.3	5
17	Stal Mielec	10	1	1	8	-9	-3.4	4
18	Slask Wroclaw	9	0	3	6	-10	-3.0	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.