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Serie B
Referee: M Di Bello
Sampdoria
U T U T U
1–0
Full-time
Cosenza
U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Cosenza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,8
This season — Serie B · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
48%
35%
Both score Ø 61%
61%
61%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
10 Shots 20
2 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 8
3 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 20
4 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sampdoria 17. · Cosenza 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 23 16 4 3 +26 52
2 Pisa 24 15 6 3 +18 51
3 Spezia 23 12 9 2 +21 45
4 Cremonese 23 10 7 6 +10 37
5 Juve Stabia 23 8 9 6 -1 33
6 Catanzaro 23 6 14 3 +5 32
7 Bari 23 6 12 5 +4 30
8 Palermo 24 8 6 10 +2 30
9 Cesena 23 8 6 9 +0 30
10 Reggiana 23 7 7 9 -2 28
11 Mantova 23 6 10 7 -3 28
12 Cittadella 23 7 7 9 -12 28
13 Modena 23 5 12 6 -1 27
14 Carrarese 23 7 6 10 -8 27
15 Brescia 23 5 10 8 -4 25
16 Cosenza 23 4 10 9 -7 22
17 Sampdoria 23 4 10 9 -8 22
18 Sudtirol 23 6 4 13 -13 22
19 Salernitana 23 5 6 12 -11 21
20 Frosinone 23 4 9 10 -16 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sampdoria Cosenza
18′
🟨 Aldo Florenzi
Ronaldo Vieira 🟨
26′
Ronaldo Vieira 🟨
31′
Ronaldo Vieira 🟥
31′
39′
🟨 Manuel Ricciardi
Fabio Depaoli 🟨
40′
1–0 F. Depaoli
45′
Half-time 1–0
M. Ricci 🔁
↦ R. Oudin
55′
P. Vismara 🔁
↦ S. Perisan
57′
57′
🔁 A. Rizzo Pinna
↦ A. Caporale
58′
🔁 L. Garritano
↦ A. Florenzi
72′
🔁 T. Fumagalli
↦ S. Mazzocchi
73′
🟨 Luca Garritano
M. Coda 🔁
↦ M. Niang
73′
N. Ioannou 🔁
↦ G. Sibilli
73′
S. Vulikić 🔁
↦ A. Ferrari
73′
82′
🔁 M. Zilli
↦ C. Kouan
82′
🔁 R. Ciervo
↦ M. Ricciardi
89′
🟨 Tommaso D'Orazio
Gerard Yepes 🟨
91′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sampdoria

3-4-2-1
13 S. Perisan G
5 A. Riccio D
25 A. Ferrari D
72 D. Veroli D
23 F. Depaoli M
4 R. Vieira M
28 Gerard Yepes M
21 P. Beruatto M
20 R. Oudin F
33 G. Sibilli F
19 M. Niang F
Bench (10)
8 M. Ricci
1 P. Vismara
9 M. Coda
44 N. Ioannou
31 S. Vulikić
12 N. Scardigno
84 N. Sekulov
34 S. Leonardi
11 Estanis Pedrola
35 M. Fisher

Coach: L. Semplici

Cosenza

3-4-1-2
1 A. Micai G
55 A. Hristov D
15 C. Dalle Mura D
17 A. Caporale D
16 M. Ricciardi M
5 M. Gargiulo M
28 C. Kouan M
11 T. D'Orazio M
34 A. Florenzi F
9 G. Artistico F
30 S. Mazzocchi F
Bench (12)
20 A. Rizzo Pinna
7 L. Garritano
10 T. Fumagalli
21 M. Zilli
19 R. Ciervo
2 B. Cimino
31 G. Ricci
22 T. Vettorel
6 Charlys
29 F. Sgarbi
39 C. Kourfalidis
4 P. Martino

Coach: M. Alvini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,97
U
3,20
B
4,05
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,24
U2,5 ✓
1,62
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Di Bello · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.