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LaLiga2
Referee: Eder Mallo
Santander
U T U S S
2–1
Full-time
Malaga
S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Santander Malaga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,2
2,8
Scored
2,3
1,7
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 40%
54%
25%
Points per game
1,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
54%
42%
Both score Ø 46%
46%
46%
Average goals
2,6
2,1
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

45% Possession 55%
21 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 4
3 Offside 7
14 Free kicks against 18
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Santander 1. · Malaga 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Santander 24 13 6 5 +12 45
2 Almeria 25 12 8 5 +13 44
3 Mirandes 25 13 5 7 +11 44
4 Elche 25 12 7 6 +13 43
5 Oviedo 25 12 7 6 +6 43
6 Levante 24 11 9 4 +13 42
7 Huesca 24 11 7 6 +14 40
8 Granada 25 11 7 7 +11 40
9 Sp Gijon 25 9 8 8 +4 35
10 Zaragoza 24 9 6 9 +5 33
11 Eibar 24 9 5 10 -2 32
12 Malaga 24 6 13 5 +0 31
13 Albacete 24 7 10 7 -2 31
14 Cadiz 24 7 9 8 -1 30
15 Cordoba 24 8 6 10 -8 30
16 La Coruna 24 7 8 9 +2 29
17 Castellon 24 8 5 11 -3 29
18 Burgos 24 7 6 11 -10 27
19 Eldense 25 6 6 13 -15 24
20 Ferrol 23 3 10 10 -20 19
21 Tenerife 24 3 7 14 -17 16
22 Cartagena 24 4 3 17 -26 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Santander Malaga
6′
Julen Lobete 0–1
Dioni
1–1 Juan Carlos Arana
Andrés Martín
15′
19′
🟨 Manu Molina
22′
🟨 Dioni
2–1 Juan Carlos Arana
Andrés Martín
28′
36′
🟨 Jokin Gabilondo
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 Puga
↦ Gabilondo
Víctor Meseguer 🔁
↦ Aritz Aldasoro
56′
Francisco Montero 🟨
58′
58′
ℹ️ Julen Lobete
VAR: Goal cancelled
Pablo Rodríguez 🔁
↦ Juan Carlos Arana
66′
Mario García 🔁
↦ Saúl García
67′
68′
🔁 Izan Merino
↦ Ramón Enríquez
68′
🔁 Y. Rahmani
↦ Antonio Cordero
Marco Sangalli 🟨
78′
Manu Hernando 🔁
↦ Javi Montero
80′
80′
🔁 Kevin Medina
↦ David Larrubia
M. Gueye 🔁
↦ Unai Vencedor
81′
87′
🔁 R. Baturina
↦ Víctor García
Víctor Meseguer 🟨
89′
Andrés Martín 🟨
90′
94′
🟨 Álex Pastor
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Santander

4-4-2
13 Jokin Ezkieta G
15 Marco Sangalli D
5 Javi Castro D
24 Javi Montero D
3 Saúl García D
11 Andrés Martín M
21 Unai Vencedor M
8 Aritz Aldasoro M
10 Iñigo Vicente M
19 Jon Karrikaburu F
9 Juan Carlos Arana F
Bench (12)
23 Víctor Meseguer
22 Pablo Rodríguez
40 Mario García
18 Manu Hernando
12 M. Gueye
36 Ángel Pérez
34 Diego Díaz
7 L. Junior
20 S. Camara
1 Miquel Parera
4 Pol Moreno
32 Jorge Salinas

Coach: José Alberto López

Malaga

4-4-2
1 Alfonso Herrero G
2 Gabilondo D
5 Álex Pastor D
20 Nélson Monte D
14 Víctor García D
10 David Larrubia M
12 Manu Molina M
6 Ramón Enríquez M
26 Antonio Cordero M
17 Dioni F
24 Julen Lobete F
Bench (12)
3 Puga
29 Izan Merino
21 Y. Rahmani
11 Kevin Medina
9 R. Baturina
35 A. Moloney
13 Carlos López
23 Sangalli
18 Dani Sánchez
4 Einar Galilea
16 Diego Murillo
27 Chupe

Coach: Sergio Pellicer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,69
U
3,73
B
4,76
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,94
U2,5
1,84
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Eder Mallo · 24 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.