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Super League

Referee: J Burchardt

AEK

S T U S U

0–1

Full-time

PAOK

U U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK PAOK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,2

1,2

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,2

0,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,5

This season — Super League · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 56%

52%

59%

Points per game

1,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

62%

45%

Both score Ø 50%

55%

45%

Average goals

2,7

2,6

Scored

1,6

1,8

Conceded

1,1

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%

5 Shots 6

2 Shots on target 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 4

6 Offside 3

21 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AEK 3. · PAOK 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	31	23	6	2	+35	75
2	PAOK	29	17	6	6	+26	57
3	AEK	29	15	5	9	+14	50
4	Panathinaikos	31	14	6	11	+21	48
5	Giannina	30	13	8	9	+10	47
6	Aris Thessalonikis	28	13	7	8	+6	46
7	Aris	28	13	7	8	+6	46
8	OFI Crete	29	9	12	8	+0	39
9	Asteras Tripolis	29	11	5	13	-3	38
10	Volos NFC	29	9	6	14	-8	33
11	Ionikos	29	8	8	13	-7	32
12	Panetolikos	29	9	5	15	-19	32
13	Atromitos	29	7	5	17	-24	26
14	Lamia	29	5	7	17	-18	22
15	Apollon	29	2	9	18	-39	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	16	14	2	0	+22	44
2	Panathinaikos	15	10	3	2	+23	33
3	PAOK	15	9	3	3	+12	30
4	AEK	14	9	1	4	+12	28
5	Giannina	15	8	4	3	+7	28
6	Aris Thessalonikis	14	7	5	2	+5	26
7	Aris	14	7	5	2	+5	26
8	Asteras Tripolis	14	7	1	6	+2	22
9	OFI Crete	15	5	6	4	+0	21
10	Atromitos	15	6	2	7	-3	20
11	Ionikos	14	5	4	5	+1	19
12	Volos NFC	15	5	2	8	-6	17
13	Panetolikos	15	4	3	8	-7	15
14	Apollon	14	1	7	6	-12	10
15	Lamia	14	2	3	9	-11	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	15	9	4	2	+13	31
2	PAOK	14	8	3	3	+14	27
3	AEK	15	6	4	5	+2	22
4	Aris Thessalonikis	14	6	2	6	+1	20
5	Aris	14	6	2	6	+1	20
6	Giannina	15	5	4	6	+3	19
7	OFI Crete	14	4	6	4	+0	18
8	Panetolikos	14	5	2	7	-12	17
9	Volos NFC	14	4	4	6	-2	16
10	Asteras Tripolis	15	4	4	7	-5	16
11	Panathinaikos	16	4	3	9	-2	15
12	Lamia	15	3	4	8	-7	13
13	Ionikos	15	3	4	8	-8	13
14	Atromitos	14	1	3	10	-21	6
15	Apollon	15	1	2	12	-27	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.