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Eredivisie

Referee: J Kamphuis

Heerenveen

U T S T U

1–2

Full-time

Ajax

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen Ajax

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

0,8

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,0

3,5

Scored

1,2

2,8

Conceded

1,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+2,2

This season — Eredivisie · 27/26 matches

Win Ø 56%

30%

81%

Points per game

1,3

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

52%

73%

Both score Ø 55%

59%

50%

Average goals

2,7

3,9

Scored

1,3

3,2

Conceded

1,4

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+2,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

38% Possession 62%

8 Shots 18

1 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 6

4 Goalkeeper saves 0

2 Corners 9

1 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heerenveen 10. · Ajax 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	26	21	3	2	+64	66
2	PSV Eindhoven	28	17	7	4	+32	58
3	AZ Alkmaar	28	17	7	4	+26	58
4	Vitesse	28	17	4	7	+18	55
5	Feyenoord	26	14	7	5	+28	49
6	Groningen	27	13	6	8	+4	45
7	Utrecht	25	11	8	6	+10	41
8	Twente	28	9	10	9	+3	37
9	Heracles	28	10	6	12	-12	36
10	Heerenveen	27	8	10	9	-2	34
11	For Sittard	28	10	4	14	-10	34
12	Sparta Rotterdam	27	9	6	12	-4	33
13	Zwolle	28	6	11	11	-9	29
14	Waalwijk	27	6	8	13	-14	26
15	Willem II	28	5	7	16	-26	22
16	VVV Venlo	28	6	4	18	-34	22
17	FC Emmen	27	2	9	16	-32	15
18	Den Haag	28	2	9	17	-42	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	14	11	2	1	+23	35
2	Ajax	13	11	1	1	+31	34
3	Vitesse	14	10	3	1	+15	33
4	AZ Alkmaar	14	9	2	3	+13	29
5	Feyenoord	12	8	3	1	+22	27
6	Groningen	14	7	5	2	+7	26
7	Heerenveen	13	6	4	3	+8	22
8	Heracles	14	6	3	5	+5	21
9	Utrecht	13	5	5	3	+2	20
10	Zwolle	14	4	6	4	+0	18
11	Waalwijk	14	4	4	6	-2	16
12	Sparta Rotterdam	14	4	3	7	-2	15
13	Twente	14	3	5	6	-2	14
14	For Sittard	14	4	2	8	-7	14
15	Willem II	14	4	2	8	-11	14
16	VVV Venlo	14	3	3	8	-20	12
17	FC Emmen	13	1	4	8	-17	7
18	Den Haag	14	0	6	8	-16	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	13	10	2	1	+33	32
2	AZ Alkmaar	14	8	5	1	+13	29
3	PSV Eindhoven	14	6	5	3	+9	23
4	Twente	14	6	5	3	+5	23
5	Feyenoord	14	6	4	4	+6	22
6	Vitesse	14	7	1	6	+3	22
7	Utrecht	12	6	3	3	+8	21
8	For Sittard	14	6	2	6	-3	20
9	Groningen	13	6	1	6	-3	19
10	Sparta Rotterdam	13	5	3	5	-2	18
11	Heracles	14	4	3	7	-17	15
12	Heerenveen	14	2	6	6	-10	12
13	Zwolle	14	2	5	7	-9	11
14	Waalwijk	13	2	4	7	-12	10
15	VVV Venlo	14	3	1	10	-14	10
16	Den Haag	14	2	3	9	-26	9
17	Willem II	14	1	5	8	-15	8
18	FC Emmen	14	1	5	8	-15	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.