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La Liga
Referee: David Medié
Cadiz
U T S U T
2–1
Full-time
Valencia
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cadiz Valencia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,3
This season — La Liga · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 27%
25%
29%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
39%
50%
Both score Ø 52%
43%
61%
Average goals
2,4
2,6
Scored
0,9
1,2
Conceded
1,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

32% Possession 68%
6 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 13
0 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cadiz 15. · Valencia 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Madrid 28 20 6 2 +33 66
2 Real Madrid 29 19 6 4 +28 63
3 Barcelona 28 19 5 4 +43 62
4 Sevilla 28 17 4 7 +18 55
5 Villarreal 29 11 13 5 +11 46
6 Betis 29 14 4 11 -3 46
7 Sociedad 28 12 9 7 +16 45
8 Celta 29 9 10 10 -6 37
9 Granada 29 10 6 13 -15 36
10 Ath Bilbao 28 9 8 11 +6 35
11 Levante 29 8 11 10 -3 35
12 Valencia 28 8 9 11 -4 33
13 Osasuna 29 7 10 12 -12 31
14 Getafe 29 7 9 13 -11 30
15 Cadiz 28 7 8 13 -20 29
16 Valladolid 28 5 12 11 -12 27
17 Elche 29 5 11 13 -17 26
18 Huesca 29 4 12 13 -16 24
19 Eibar 29 4 11 14 -13 23
20 Alaves 29 5 8 16 -23 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Jan -21 Valencia – Cadiz 1–1

Match report

Cadiz Valencia
1–0 Juan Cala
14′
19′
K. Gameiro 1–1
Gonçalo Guedes
Salvi 🟨
23′
Juan Cala 🟨
26′
30′
🟨 Mouctar Diakhaby
30′
🔁 Hugo Guillamón
↦ M. Diakhaby
Half-time 1–1
M. López 🔁
↦ Juan Cala
46′
49′
🟨 Gabriel Paulista
Alejo 🔁
↦ Alberto Perea
62′
73′
🔁 Manu Vallejo
↦ D. Wass
73′
🔁 D. Cheryshev
↦ Álex Blanco
F. Malbašić 🔁
↦ Álvaro Negredo
74′
Jorge Pombo 🔁
↦ Jairo Izquierdo
79′
2–1 M. López
Alejo
88′
89′
🔁 P. Cutrone
↦ K. Gameiro
89′
🔁 Y. Musah
↦ Thierry Correia
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Cadiz

4-4-1-1
1 J. Ledesma G
16 Juan Cala D
20 Isaac Carcelén D
3 Fali Jiménez D
22 A. Espino D
6 José Mari M
7 Salvi M
2 J. Jønsson M
25 Jairo Izquierdo F
18 Álvaro Negredo F
10 Alberto Perea M
Bench (11)
4 M. López
14 Alejo
24 F. Malbašić
11 Jorge Pombo
19 Alcalá
5 Jon Garrido
26 J. Flere
12 I. Šaponjić
15 Carlos Akapo
17 A. Fernández
13 David Gil

Coach: Álvaro

Valencia

4-4-2
1 Jaume Doménech G
5 Gabriel Paulista D
14 José Gayà D
12 M. Diakhaby D
2 Thierry Correia D
18 D. Wass M
7 Gonçalo Guedes F
8 Carlos Soler M
19 U. Račić M
9 K. Gameiro F
16 Álex Blanco M
Bench (11)
15 Hugo Guillamón
21 Manu Vallejo
17 D. Cheryshev
11 P. Cutrone
30 Y. Musah
23 Jason
25 Cristian Rivero
3 Toni Lato
6 Ferro
20 Lee Kang-In
10 C. Oliva

Coach: Javi Gracia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,11
U
3,13
B
2,44
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,26
U2,5
1,64
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

David Medié · 37 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.