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La Liga

Referee: Antonio Mateu

Alaves

T T T U T

1–3

Full-time

Celta

T U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Celta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,2

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

2,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,8

-0,2

This season — La Liga · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 24%

18%

29%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

43%

46%

Both score Ø 56%

54%

57%

Average goals

2,4

2,8

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

1,6

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

53% Possession 47%

17 Shots 8

7 Shots on target 6

7 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 2

1 Offside 4

9 Free kicks against 21

4 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Alaves 20. · Celta 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	28	20	6	2	+33	66
2	Real Madrid	29	19	6	4	+28	63
3	Barcelona	28	19	5	4	+43	62
4	Sevilla	28	17	4	7	+18	55
5	Villarreal	29	11	13	5	+11	46
6	Sociedad	28	12	9	7	+16	45
7	Betis	28	14	3	11	-3	45
8	Granada	29	10	6	13	-15	36
9	Ath Bilbao	28	9	8	11	+6	35
10	Levante	29	8	11	10	-3	35
11	Celta	28	8	10	10	-8	34
12	Valencia	28	8	9	11	-4	33
13	Osasuna	29	7	10	12	-12	31
14	Getafe	29	7	9	13	-11	30
15	Cadiz	28	7	8	13	-20	29
16	Valladolid	28	5	12	11	-12	27
17	Elche	28	5	10	13	-17	25
18	Huesca	29	4	12	13	-16	24
19	Eibar	29	4	11	14	-13	23
20	Alaves	28	5	8	15	-21	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	15	11	3	1	+21	36
2	Barcelona	14	9	4	1	+22	31
3	Real Madrid	14	10	1	3	+16	31
4	Sevilla	14	10	1	3	+13	31
5	Granada	15	8	3	4	+1	27
6	Betis	14	8	2	4	+4	26
7	Ath Bilbao	14	7	3	4	+10	24
8	Villarreal	14	6	6	2	+5	24
9	Sociedad	14	6	5	3	+8	23
10	Valencia	14	6	5	3	+6	23
11	Levante	15	5	7	3	+2	22
12	Celta	14	6	3	5	-2	21
13	Getafe	15	5	5	5	+3	20
14	Osasuna	15	4	5	6	-6	17
15	Elche	13	3	6	4	-5	15
16	Alaves	14	3	5	6	-6	14
17	Valladolid	14	3	5	6	-7	14
18	Cadiz	14	3	4	7	-10	13
19	Huesca	14	2	6	6	-6	12
20	Eibar	14	1	6	7	-9	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	15	9	5	1	+12	32
2	Barcelona	14	10	1	3	+21	31
3	Ath Madrid	13	9	3	1	+12	30
4	Sevilla	14	7	3	4	+5	24
5	Sociedad	14	6	4	4	+8	22
6	Villarreal	15	5	7	3	+6	22
7	Betis	14	6	1	7	-7	19
8	Cadiz	14	4	4	6	-10	16
9	Eibar	15	3	5	7	-4	14
10	Osasuna	14	3	5	6	-6	14
11	Levante	14	3	4	7	-5	13
12	Valladolid	14	2	7	5	-5	13
13	Celta	14	2	7	5	-6	13
14	Huesca	15	2	6	7	-10	12
15	Ath Bilbao	14	2	5	7	-4	11
16	Valencia	14	2	4	8	-10	10
17	Elche	15	2	4	9	-12	10
18	Getafe	14	2	4	8	-14	10
19	Alaves	14	2	3	9	-15	9
20	Granada	14	2	3	9	-16	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.