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Bundesliga

Referee: J Weinberger

Salzburg

S T S S S

3–1

Full-time

Sturm Graz

T S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salzburg Sturm Graz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

4,2

2,2

Scored

2,8

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 64%

77%

50%

Points per game

2,4

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

77%

55%

Both score Ø 59%

68%

50%

Average goals

4,1

2,5

Scored

3,0

1,5

Conceded

1,1

0,9

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+0,6

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

54% Possession 46%

16 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 0

3 Offside 1

25 Free kicks against 15

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Salzburg 1. · Sturm Graz 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	22	17	1	4	+43	52
2	SK Rapid	23	14	6	3	+25	48
3	LASK	23	13	3	7	+19	42
4	Sturm Graz	22	11	6	5	+14	39
5	Tirol	23	9	6	8	+5	33
6	Wolfsberger AC	23	10	3	10	-6	33
7	Hartberg	23	7	8	8	-14	29
8	Austria Vienna	23	7	7	9	+1	28
9	St. Polten	23	5	6	12	-11	21
10	Altach	23	6	3	14	-25	21
11	Ried	23	5	4	14	-24	19
12	Admira	23	4	5	14	-27	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	11	9	0	2	+25	27
2	SK Rapid	11	8	2	1	+15	26
3	Sturm Graz	11	8	1	2	+12	25
4	LASK	11	7	0	4	+14	21
5	Tirol	12	4	4	4	+3	16
6	Hartberg	11	4	4	3	-3	16
7	Austria Vienna	12	3	5	4	-2	14
8	Ried	12	4	2	6	-10	14
9	Altach	11	3	3	5	-7	12
10	Admira	11	3	2	6	-9	11
11	Wolfsberger AC	12	2	3	7	-16	9
12	St. Polten	12	1	3	8	-12	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	11	8	1	2	+18	25
2	Wolfsberger AC	11	8	0	3	+10	24
3	SK Rapid	12	6	4	2	+10	22
4	LASK	12	6	3	3	+5	21
5	Tirol	11	5	2	4	+2	17
6	St. Polten	11	4	3	4	+1	15
7	Austria Vienna	11	4	2	5	+3	14
8	Sturm Graz	11	3	5	3	+2	14
9	Hartberg	12	3	4	5	-11	13
10	Altach	12	3	0	9	-18	9
11	Admira	12	1	3	8	-18	6
12	Ried	11	1	2	8	-14	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.