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Super League

Referee: A Evangelou

Asteras Tripolis

S S S U U

2–1

Full-time

PAOK

T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Asteras Tripolis PAOK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,0

3,7

Scored

1,3

2,5

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,3

This season — Super League · 25/24 matches

Win Ø 49%

44%

54%

Points per game

1,6

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

36%

54%

Both score Ø 43%

36%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,8

Scored

1,0

1,9

Conceded

1,0

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

39% Possession 61%

6 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 6

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 2

2 Offside 3

9 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Asteras Tripolis 7. · PAOK 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	25	19	5	1	+46	62
2	AEK	25	14	5	6	+10	47
3	PAOK	24	13	7	4	+24	46
4	Aris Thessalonikis	23	13	5	5	+14	44
5	Aris	23	13	5	5	+14	44
6	Panathinaikos	25	13	5	7	+11	44
7	Asteras Tripolis	25	11	8	6	+2	41
8	Volos NFC	25	7	9	9	-8	30
9	Atromitos	24	6	9	9	-8	27
10	Giannina	25	6	8	11	-5	26
11	Apollon	26	7	4	15	-10	25
12	Lamia	24	5	6	13	-22	21
13	OFI Crete	25	5	4	16	-22	19
14	Panetolikos	25	3	9	13	-19	18
15	Larisa	24	1	7	16	-27	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	13	11	2	0	+29	35
2	PAOK	12	8	4	0	+19	28
3	Asteras Tripolis	12	7	3	2	+4	24
4	Panathinaikos	12	6	3	3	+6	21
5	Aris Thessalonikis	11	6	2	3	+5	20
6	Aris	11	6	2	3	+5	20
7	AEK	13	5	4	4	+2	19
8	Atromitos	13	4	5	4	-1	17
9	Volos NFC	12	3	4	5	-4	13
10	Panetolikos	13	3	3	7	-6	12
11	Giannina	13	2	5	6	-5	11
12	Lamia	11	3	2	6	-8	11
13	Apollon	13	3	1	9	-8	10
14	OFI Crete	13	2	3	8	-14	9
15	Larisa	12	0	5	7	-13	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	12	9	1	2	+8	28
2	Olympiakos	12	8	3	1	+17	27
3	Aris Thessalonikis	12	7	3	2	+9	24
4	Aris	12	7	3	2	+9	24
5	Panathinaikos	13	7	2	4	+5	23
6	PAOK	12	5	3	4	+5	18
7	Asteras Tripolis	13	4	5	4	-2	17
8	Volos NFC	13	4	5	4	-4	17
9	Giannina	12	4	3	5	+0	15
10	Apollon	13	4	3	6	-2	15
11	Atromitos	11	2	4	5	-7	10
12	OFI Crete	12	3	1	8	-8	10
13	Lamia	13	2	4	7	-14	10
14	Panetolikos	12	0	6	6	-13	6
15	Larisa	12	1	2	9	-14	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.