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Süper Lig
Referee: F Aydınus
Alanyaspor
U U S S T
1–0
Full-time
Denizlispor
T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alanyaspor Denizlispor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,8
Scored
2,2
0,8
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,2
This season — Süper Lig · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 36%
44%
28%
Points per game
1,6
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
47%
38%
Both score Ø 52%
59%
44%
Average goals
2,9
2,4
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

63% Possession 37%
19 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Alanyaspor 6. · Denizlispor 13. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Buyuksehyr 32 19 9 4 +31 66
2 Trabzonspor 32 17 11 4 +34 62
3 Sivasspor 32 16 9 7 +17 57
4 Besiktas 32 17 5 10 +14 56
5 Galatasaray 33 15 10 8 +18 55
6 Alanyaspor 32 14 9 9 +22 51
7 Fenerbahce 32 14 8 10 +12 50
8 Gaziantep 33 10 13 10 -2 43
9 Antalyaspor 32 10 11 11 -12 41
10 Kasimpasa 33 11 7 15 -6 40
11 Goztep 33 10 9 14 -7 39
12 Genclerbirligi 32 9 9 14 -12 36
13 Denizlispor 32 9 8 15 -15 35
14 Konyaspor 32 7 12 13 -16 33
15 Yeni Malatyaspor 32 8 8 16 -3 32
16 Rizespor 32 9 5 18 -20 32
17 Kayserispor 32 8 8 16 -30 32
18 Ankaragücü 32 6 11 15 -25 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alanyaspor Denizlispor
Half-time 0–0
S. Caulker 🟨
55′
65′
🔁 M. Mbamba
↦ I. Sackey
J. Fernándes 🔁
↦ E. Altıntaş
67′
75′
🔁 O. Estupiñán
↦ H. Rodallega
M. Pektemek 🔁
↦ M. Çağıran
77′
O. Bulut 🔁
↦ E. Karaca
85′
85′
🔁 Ö. Çek
↦ R. Niyaz
92′
🟨 O. Estupinan
1–0 O. Bulut ⚽
J. Fernándes
95′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Alanyaspor

4-2-3-1
28 Marafona G
31 G. Tzavellas D
21 F. N'Sakala D
44 S. Caulker D
24 Juanfran D
7 E. Karaca M
35 M. Çağıran M
26 E. Siopis M
77 E. Altıntaş M
9 P. Cissé F
11 A. Bakasetas M
Bench (10)
10 J. Fernándes
19 M. Pektemek
25 O. Bulut
23 Welinton
12 C. Gönen
14 Baiano
53 L. Gör
34 E. Birniçan
17 K. Kanak
27 U. Güneş

Coach: E. Bulut

Denizlispor

4-2-3-1
1 H. Altıntaş G
5 M. Yumlu D
61 Z. Yavru D
21 Z. Bergdich D
15 O. Yılmaz D
10 I. Aissati M
20 R. Niyaz M
8 R. Murawski M
90 I. Sackey M
7 H. Rodallega F
9 H. Sacko M
Bench (10)
6 M. Mbamba
19 O. Estupiñán
60 Ö. Çek
3 M. Özkal
70 O. Şahan
11 S. Şahintürk
2 Tiago Lopes
44 A. Kalkan
16 A. Aksungur
13 A. Yalçın

Coach: K. Atik

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,58
U
4,06
B
5,24
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
–
O2,5
1,68
U2,5 ✓
2,15
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

F Aydınus · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.