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La Liga
Referee: Javier Alberola
Ath Bilbao
U U U U U
0–2
Full-time
Getafe
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Getafe
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
1,8
1,8
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
This season — La Liga · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 41%
33%
48%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 26%
19%
33%
Both score Ø 41%
43%
38%
Average goals
1,8
2,4
Scored
1,0
1,4
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

70% Possession 30%
8 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 4
8 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ath Bilbao 9. · Getafe 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 22 14 7 1 +27 49
2 Barcelona 21 13 4 4 +25 43
3 Sevilla 21 11 5 5 +7 38
4 Valencia 22 10 7 5 +4 37
5 Getafe 21 10 6 5 +10 36
6 Ath Madrid 22 9 9 4 +7 36
7 Sociedad 22 10 4 8 +7 34
8 Villarreal 21 9 4 8 +7 31
9 Ath Bilbao 21 7 10 4 +7 31
10 Granada 22 9 3 10 -2 30
11 Osasuna 21 6 10 5 +3 28
12 Betis 22 7 7 8 -4 28
13 Levante 21 8 2 11 -6 26
14 Valladolid 22 5 10 7 -6 25
15 Eibar 22 6 6 10 -9 24
16 Alaves 21 6 5 10 -9 23
17 Mallorca 22 5 3 14 -16 18
18 Leganes 22 4 6 12 -16 18
19 Celta 22 3 8 11 -14 17
20 Espanol 22 3 6 13 -22 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ath Bilbao Getafe
12′
🟨 Deyverson
36′
D. Suárez 0–1
Deyverson
40′
🟨 Mauro Arambarri
Half-time 0–2
50′
Mata 0–2
54′
🔁 Jorge Molina
↦ Deyverson
Yuri Berchiche 🟨
63′
63′
🟨 Jaime Mata
67′
🟨 Damián Suárez
Aduriz 🔁
↦ Asier Villalibre
67′
Ibai Gómez 🔁
↦ Unai López
68′
Capa 🔁
↦ Lekue
68′
70′
🟨 Allan Nyom
Iñigo Martínez 🟨
86′
86′
🔁 Timor
↦ Mata
92′
🔁 Kenedy
↦ A. Nyom
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Ath Bilbao

4-2-3-1
1 Unai Simon G
15 Íñigo Lekue D
5 Yeray Álvarez D
4 Iñigo Martínez D
17 Yuri Berchiche D
14 Dani García M
8 Unai López M
9 Iñaki Williams M
22 Raúl García M
10 Iker Muniain M
25 Asier Villalibre F
Bench (7)
13 Iago Herrerín
3 Unai Núñez
21 Ander Capa
16 Mikel Vesga
12 Gaizka Larrazabal
19 Ibai Gómez
20 Aritz Aduriz

Coach: Gaizka Garitano

Getafe

4-4-2
13 David Soria G
22 Damián Suárez D
2 Djené D
16 Xabier Etxeita D
17 Mathias Olivera D
12 Allan Nyom M
18 Mauro Arambarri M
20 Nemanja Maksimović M
15 Marc Cucurella M
7 Jaime Mata F
14 Deyverson F
Bench (7)
1 Leandro Chichizola
6 Chema
24 David Timor
25 Kenedy
11 Amath Ndiaye
19 Jorge Molina
9 Ángel Rodríguez

Coach: José Bordalás

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,55
U
2,85
B ✓
3,24
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,89
U2,5 ✓
1,40
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Javier Alberola · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.