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La Liga
Referee: Mario Melero
Leganes
U S U T U
2–1
Full-time
Sociedad
U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leganes Sociedad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
This season — La Liga · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 31%
14%
48%
Points per game
0,7
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
43%
67%
Both score Ø 55%
48%
62%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

43% Possession 57%
12 Shots 2
5 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 1
2 Offside 3
24 Free kicks against 19
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leganes 19. · Sociedad 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 22 14 7 1 +27 49
2 Barcelona 21 13 4 4 +25 43
3 Sevilla 21 11 5 5 +7 38
4 Valencia 22 10 7 5 +4 37
5 Getafe 21 10 6 5 +10 36
6 Ath Madrid 22 9 9 4 +7 36
7 Sociedad 21 10 4 7 +8 34
8 Villarreal 21 9 4 8 +7 31
9 Ath Bilbao 21 7 10 4 +7 31
10 Granada 22 9 3 10 -2 30
11 Osasuna 21 6 10 5 +3 28
12 Betis 21 7 6 8 -4 27
13 Levante 21 8 2 11 -6 26
14 Valladolid 22 5 10 7 -6 25
15 Alaves 21 6 5 10 -9 23
16 Eibar 21 6 5 10 -9 23
17 Mallorca 22 5 3 14 -16 18
18 Celta 22 3 8 11 -14 17
19 Leganes 21 3 6 12 -17 15
20 Espanol 22 3 6 13 -22 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leganes Sociedad
Recio 🟨
18′
20′
A. Isak 0–1
Sangalli
39′
🟨 Igor Zubeldia
Half-time 1–1
1–1 K. Omeruo
M. Braithwaite
49′
57′
🔁 M. Ødegaard
↦ Sangalli
Aitor Ruibal 🔁
↦ Eraso
58′
61′
🔁 Barrenetxea
↦ Portu
Chidozie Awaziem 🟨
69′
71′
🔁 Willian José
↦ A. Isak
G. Carrillo 🔁
↦ Kévin Rodrigues
72′
Guido Carrillo 🟨
78′
Jonathan Silva 🟨
80′
Óscar Rodríguez 🔁
↦ M. Braithwaite
80′
89′
🟨 Willian José
90′
🟨 Ander Guevara
2–1 Óscar Rodríguez
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Leganes

5-4-1
13 Juan Soriano G
16 Roberto Rosales D
12 Chidozie Awaziem D
4 Kenneth Omeruo D
3 Unai Bustinza D
5 Jonathan Silva D
17 Javier Eraso M
6 Roque Mesa M
8 Recio M
24 Kevin Rodrigues M
7 Martin Braithwaite F
Bench (7)
35 Pablo Lombo
21 Rubén Pérez
27 Óscar Rodríguez
9 Miguel Ángel Guerrero
26 Bryan Gil
19 Aitor Ruibal
18 Guido Carrillo

Coach: J. Aguirre

Sociedad

4-1-4-1
1 Álex Remiro G
2 Joseba Zaldúa D
6 Aritz Elustondo D
24 Robin Le Normand D
20 Nacho Monreal D
5 Igor Zubeldia M
11 Adnan Januzaj M
16 Ander Guevara M
23 Luca Sangalli M
7 Portu M
19 Alexander Isak F
Bench (7)
30 Andoni Zubiaurre
12 Aihen Muñoz
36 Martín Zubimendi
21 Martin Ødegaard
9 Willian José
10 Mikel Oyarzabal
22 Ander Barrenetxea

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,90
U
3,14
B
2,58
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,26
U2,5
1,63
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Mario Melero · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.