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Primeira Liga
Referee: João Bento
Santa Clara
T S T T S
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Santa Clara Pacos Ferreira
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
2,0
1,5
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,2
This season — Primeira Liga · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 24%
26%
21%
Points per game
1,1
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 27%
21%
32%
Both score Ø 32%
32%
32%
Average goals
1,8
2,1
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
1,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
10 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 2
6 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Santa Clara 14. · Pacos Ferreira 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 20 19 0 1 +40 57
2 Porto 21 17 2 2 +37 53
3 Sp Lisbon 19 11 2 6 +11 35
4 Famalicao 20 10 5 5 +7 35
5 Rio Ave 20 9 5 6 +5 32
6 Sp Braga 19 9 3 7 +7 30
7 Guimaraes 19 6 8 5 +6 26
8 Setubal 19 6 7 6 -7 25
9 Vitoria Setubal 19 6 7 6 -7 25
10 Tondela 21 6 6 9 -9 24
11 Gil Vicente 20 5 8 7 -5 23
12 Moreirense 20 5 7 8 -1 22
13 Boavista 19 5 7 7 -4 22
14 Santa Clara 19 5 6 8 -8 21
15 Maritimo 20 4 9 7 -9 21
16 Belenenses 20 5 3 12 -20 18
17 Pacos Ferreira 19 4 4 11 -14 16
18 Portimonense 20 2 9 9 -14 15
19 Aves 20 4 0 16 -15 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Santa Clara Pacos Ferreira
23′
🟨 Oleg Reabciuk
Fabio Cardoso 🟨
36′
45′
🟨 Marco Baixinho
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Denílson
↦ Jorge Silva
46′
🔁 Marcelo
↦ Adriano Castanheira
1–0 Guilherme Schettine
47′
Costinha 🟨
67′
Nené 🔁
↦ Chico Ramos
74′
74′
🔁 João Amaral
↦ S. Eustáquio
Thiago Santana 🔁
↦ Carlos
79′
2–0 Guilherme Schettine
Costinha
80′
88′
🟨 João Amaral
90′
🟨 Denílson
91′
Marco Baixinho 2–1
Zé Manuel 🔁
↦ Guilherme Schettine
93′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Santa Clara

4-3-1-2
99 Marco Pereira G
4 Fábio Cardoso D
5 João Afonso D
2 Rafael Ramos D
3 Z. Sanusi D
27 Anderson Carvalho M
20 Costinha M
88 Chico Ramos M
17 Lincoln M
95 Guilherme Schettine F
13 Carlos F
Bench (7)
21 Nené
14 Thiago Santana
70 Zé Manuel
7 Ukra
6 Osama Rashid
12 César Martins
1 André Ferreira

Coach: João Henriques

Pacos Ferreira

4-2-3-1
87 Ricardo Ribeiro G
2 Marco Baixinho D
21 Jorge Silva D
26 Maracás D
5 O. Reabciuk D
10 Pedrinho M
46 S. Eustáquio M
24 M. Diaby M
99 Douglas Tanque F
20 Adriano Castanheira M
17 Hélder Ferreira M
Bench (7)
7 Denílson
44 Marcelo
42 João Amaral
1 Simão Bertelli
22 Luíz Carlos
77 Murilo
6 Bruno Teles

Coach: Pepa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,16
U
3,12
B
3,50
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,38
U2,5
1,55
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.