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Eredivisie

Referee: B Kuipers

Ajax

S T S S U

2–2

Full-time

PSV Eindhoven

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax PSV Eindhoven

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

4,2

3,3

Scored

3,3

2,3

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,5

+1,3

This season — Eredivisie · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 75%

79%

71%

Points per game

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

79%

71%

Both score Ø 54%

43%

64%

Average goals

4,4

3,1

Scored

3,7

2,4

Conceded

0,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+3,0

+1,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

67% Possession 33%

11 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 7

5 Blocked shots 0

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 6

1 Offside 3

8 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajax 1. · PSV Eindhoven 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	14	11	1	2	+42	34
2	PSV Eindhoven	14	10	3	1	+22	33
3	Vitesse	15	10	2	3	+14	32
4	Feyenoord	13	9	3	1	+19	30
5	AZ Alkmaar	15	7	7	1	+13	28
6	Twente	15	8	3	4	+11	27
7	Groningen	14	8	2	4	+3	26
8	Heerenveen	15	5	5	5	-1	20
9	Sparta Rotterdam	14	5	2	7	-1	17
10	Zwolle	15	3	8	4	-6	17
11	Utrecht	13	3	7	3	-3	16
12	For Sittard	15	4	4	7	-10	16
13	Heracles	15	4	3	8	-11	15
14	Waalwijk	15	3	3	9	-14	12
15	VVV Venlo	15	3	3	9	-21	12
16	Den Haag	15	2	4	9	-21	10
17	Willem II	15	2	3	10	-15	9
18	FC Emmen	15	0	5	10	-21	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	7	7	0	0	+15	21
2	Vitesse	7	6	1	0	+11	19
3	Ajax	7	6	0	1	+19	18
4	AZ Alkmaar	7	4	2	1	+7	14
5	Groningen	8	4	2	2	+2	14
6	Feyenoord	5	3	2	0	+7	11
7	Twente	8	3	2	3	+2	11
8	Heerenveen	7	3	1	3	+1	10
9	Utrecht	7	2	4	1	+0	10
10	Zwolle	8	2	4	2	+0	10
11	Sparta Rotterdam	8	2	2	4	+0	8
12	For Sittard	7	2	2	3	-4	8
13	VVV Venlo	8	2	2	4	-16	8
14	Heracles	7	2	1	4	+0	7
15	Willem II	7	2	1	4	-5	7
16	Waalwijk	8	1	3	4	-6	6
17	FC Emmen	8	0	3	5	-12	3
18	Den Haag	7	0	2	5	-9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	8	6	1	1	+12	19
2	Ajax	7	5	1	1	+23	16
3	Twente	7	5	1	1	+9	16
4	AZ Alkmaar	8	3	5	0	+6	14
5	Vitesse	8	4	1	3	+3	13
6	PSV Eindhoven	7	3	3	1	+7	12
7	Groningen	6	4	0	2	+1	12
8	Heerenveen	8	2	4	2	-2	10
9	Sparta Rotterdam	6	3	0	3	-1	9
10	For Sittard	8	2	2	4	-6	8
11	Heracles	8	2	2	4	-11	8
12	Den Haag	8	2	2	4	-12	8
13	Zwolle	7	1	4	2	-6	7
14	Utrecht	6	1	3	2	-3	6
15	Waalwijk	7	2	0	5	-8	6
16	VVV Venlo	7	1	1	5	-5	4
17	FC Emmen	7	0	2	5	-9	2
18	Willem II	8	0	2	6	-10	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.