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Eredivisie
Referee: D Higler
0–2
Full-time
Feyenoord
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam Feyenoord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,5
2,2
Scored
2,5
1,8
Conceded
1,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,5
This season — Eredivisie · 13/12 matches
Win Ø 53%
38%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
54%
58%
Both score Ø 48%
46%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,1
Scored
1,8
2,3
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

47% Possession 53%
11 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
6 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 9. · Feyenoord 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 14 11 1 2 +42 34
2 PSV Eindhoven 14 10 3 1 +22 33
3 Vitesse 15 10 2 3 +14 32
4 AZ Alkmaar 15 7 7 1 +13 28
5 Feyenoord 12 8 3 1 +17 27
6 Twente 15 8 3 4 +11 27
7 Groningen 14 8 2 4 +3 26
8 Heerenveen 14 5 5 4 +1 20
9 Sparta Rotterdam 13 5 2 6 +1 17
10 Zwolle 15 3 8 4 -6 17
11 Utrecht 13 3 7 3 -3 16
12 Heracles 15 4 3 8 -11 15
13 For Sittard 14 3 4 7 -12 13
14 Waalwijk 15 3 3 9 -14 12
15 Den Haag 15 2 4 9 -21 10
16 Willem II 14 2 3 9 -14 9
17 VVV Venlo 14 2 3 9 -22 9
18 FC Emmen 15 0 5 10 -21 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sparta Rotterdam Feyenoord
11′
L. Geertruida 0–1
M. Senesi
13′
ℹ️ Lutsharel Geertruida
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Half-time 0–1
R. Kharchouch 🔁
↦ D. Duarte
46′
46′
🔁 Eric Botteghin
↦ U. Spajić
S. Mijnans 🔁
↦ W. Burger
58′
65′
🔁 R. Haps
↦ L. Sinisterra
Dirk Abels 🟨
67′
Adil Auassar 🟨
70′
71′
🔁 N. Jørgensen
↦ L. Pratto
Jeffry Fortes 🔁
↦ D. Abels
74′
B. Smeets 🔁
↦ A. Auassar
74′
D. Gravenberch 🔁
↦ L. Thy
83′
94′
N. Jørgensen 0–2
S. Berghuis
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Sparta Rotterdam

4-2-3-1
1 M. Okoye G
3 T. Beugelsdijk D
5 M. Pinto D
4 M. Heylen D
2 D. Abels D
6 A. Auassar M
10 D. Duarte M
8 A. Harroui M
7 W. Burger M
9 L. Thy F
11 M. Engels M
Bench (11)
17 R. Kharchouch
13 S. Mijnans
12 Jeffry Fortes
16 B. Smeets
19 D. Gravenberch
18 J. Meerstadt
14 L. Duarte
20 B. van Leer
30 M. Fabrie
21 D. Vianello
15 A. Meijers

Coach: H. Fraser

Feyenoord

4-3-3
21 N. Marsman G
25 U. Spajić D
15 T. Malacia D
4 M. Senesi D
22 L. Geertruida D
8 L. Fer M
28 J. Toornstra M
6 M. Diemers M
24 L. Pratto F
10 S. Berghuis F
17 L. Sinisterra F
Bench (11)
33 Eric Botteghin
5 R. Haps
9 N. Jørgensen
30 R. ten Hove
49 T. Troost
7 L. Narsingh
2 B. Nieuwkoop
3 S. van Beek
11 B. Linssen
59 J. Wehrmann
14 G. Johnston

Coach: D. Advocaat

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,70
U
3,82
B ✓
1,89
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,57
U2,5 ✓
2,36
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Higler · 133 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.