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Serie A
Referee: L Pairetto
Parma
U T T T T
0–2
Full-time
Lazio
U S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Parma Lazio
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
2,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,8
+0,2
This season — Serie A · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 29%
13%
44%
Points per game
0,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
69%
56%
Both score Ø 60%
44%
75%
Average goals
2,8
3,1
Scored
0,8
1,6
Conceded
1,9
1,6
Goal diff per game
-1,1
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
9 Shots 21
3 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 6
0 Offside 5
11 Free kicks against 6
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Parma 19. · Lazio 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Milan 17 12 4 1 +18 40
2 Inter 17 11 4 2 +20 37
3 Roma 17 10 4 3 +11 34
4 Atalanta 16 9 4 3 +18 31
5 Juventus 15 8 6 1 +17 30
6 Sassuolo 16 8 5 3 +6 29
7 Napoli 15 9 1 5 +17 28
8 Lazio 16 7 4 5 +0 25
9 Verona 16 6 6 4 +5 24
10 Benevento 17 6 3 8 -10 21
11 Sampdoria 16 6 2 8 -1 20
12 Bologna 17 4 5 8 -8 17
13 Udinese 15 4 4 7 -6 16
14 Fiorentina 16 3 6 7 -6 15
15 Cagliari 16 3 5 8 -10 14
16 Spezia 16 3 5 8 -10 14
17 Genoa 17 3 5 9 -12 14
18 Torino 17 2 6 9 -9 12
19 Parma 16 2 6 8 -18 12
20 Crotone 16 2 3 11 -22 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Parma Lazio
Maxime Busi 🟨
23′
Gastón Brugman 🟨
26′
B. Balogh 🔁
↦ L. Valenti
34′
Half-time 0–0
G. Ricci 🔁
↦ Y. Osorio
46′
55′
Luis Alberto 0–1
M. Lazzari
Hernani 🟨
63′
R. Inglese 🔁
↦ G. Brugman
63′
64′
🔁 J. Akpa Akpro
↦ Luis Alberto
Botond Balogh 🟨
66′
67′
F. Caicedo 0–2
S. Milinković-Savić
68′
🟨 Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro
70′
🔁 Andreas Pereira
↦ F. Caicedo
71′
🔁 D. Cataldi
↦ Lucas Leiva
V. Mihăilă 🔁
↦ S. Sohm
75′
84′
🔁 D. Anderson
↦ A. Marušić
84′
🔁 Patric
↦ M. Lazzari
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Parma

4-3-3
1 L. Sepe G
22 Bruno Alves D
24 Y. Osorio D
42 M. Busi D
15 G. Brugman M
14 J. Kurtič M
23 Hernani M
19 S. Sohm F
27 Y. Gervinho F
11 A. Cornelius F
30 L. Valenti D
Bench (12)
4 B. Balogh
31 G. Ricci
45 R. Inglese
28 V. Mihăilă
32 J. Brunetta
3 G. Pezzella
37 D. Camara
77 F. Rinaldi
17 J. Dezi
93 M. Sprocati
18 W. Cyprien
34 S. Colombi

Coach: R. D'Aversa

Lazio

3-5-2
25 Pepe Reina G
26 Ş. Radu D
33 F. Acerbi D
77 A. Marušić M
3 Luiz Felipe D
6 Lucas Leiva M
10 Luis Alberto M
29 M. Lazzari M
21 S. Milinković-Savić M
20 F. Caicedo F
17 C. Immobile F
Bench (12)
92 J. Akpa Akpro
7 Andreas Pereira
32 D. Cataldi
8 D. Anderson
4 Patric
18 G. Escalante
71 M. Alia
16 M. Parolo
55 A.Furlanetto
14 W. Hoedt
94 V. Muriqi
13 N. Armini

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,63
U
4,21
B ✓
1,58
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,79
U2,5 ✓
2,02
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Pairetto · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.