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Süper Lig
Referee: Volkan Bayarslan
Goztep
S S U S T
0–1
Full-time
Hatayspor
U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Goztep Hatayspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
This season — Süper Lig · 12/11 matches
Win Ø 39%
33%
45%
Points per game
1,5
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
42%
45%
Both score Ø 47%
67%
27%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,6
1,2
Conceded
1,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
8 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 3
2 Offside 3
18 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Goztep 6. · Hatayspor 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Alanyaspor 12 8 2 2 +15 26
2 Galatasaray 12 7 2 3 +11 23
3 Fenerbahce 12 7 2 3 +6 23
4 Karagumruk 13 5 5 3 +6 20
5 Besiktas 11 6 1 4 +2 19
6 Goztep 12 4 6 2 +6 18
7 Gaziantep 11 4 6 1 +3 18
8 Kasimpasa 12 5 3 4 +1 18
9 Hatayspor 11 5 3 3 -2 18
10 Yeni Malatyaspor 11 4 4 3 +1 16
11 Konyaspor 11 4 3 4 +4 15
12 Buyuksehyr 12 4 3 5 +0 15
13 Rizespor 11 4 3 4 -2 15
14 Trabzonspor 12 3 5 4 -3 14
15 Antalyaspor 12 3 5 4 -4 14
16 Sivasspor 11 2 5 4 -3 11
17 Genclerbirligi 11 3 2 6 -8 11
18 Kayserispor 11 2 4 5 -6 10
19 Erzurumspor 12 2 3 7 -10 9
20 Ankaragücü 11 2 2 7 -6 8
21 Denizlispor 11 1 3 7 -11 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Goztep Hatayspor
22′
🟨 Jean Claude Billong
Half-time 0–0
56′
ℹ️ Adama Traoré
VAR: Goal cancelled
Yalçın Kayan 🟨
58′
59′
M. Diouf 0–1
S. Napoleoni 🔁
↦ Guilherme
63′
B. Ideye 🔁
↦ Z. Tripić
63′
K. Sönmez 🔁
↦ Y. Kayan
63′
Lamine Gassama 🟨
64′
71′
🔁 S. Ilgaz
↦ D. Akintola
O. Nwobodo 🔁
↦ L. Gassama
75′
Obinna Nwobodo 🟨
77′
Marcio Mossoró 🔁
↦ A. Öztürk
80′
81′
🔁 I. Sackey
↦ Noss Traoré
89′
🟨 Alexandros Katranis
91′
🔁 A. Canlı
↦ Rúben Ribeiro
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Goztep

4-2-3-1
70 İ. Eğribayat G
4 Titi D
20 L. Gassama D
68 D. Bureković D
8 S. Aydoğdu M
12 Guilherme M
5 A. Öztürk D
11 Z. Tripić M
7 H. Akbunar M
30 Y. Kayan M
9 C. Ndiaye F
Bench (10)
99 S. Napoleoni
22 B. Ideye
6 K. Sönmez
60 O. Nwobodo
10 Marcio Mossoró
90 E. Binici
33 A. Nukan
16 B. Megyeri
3 M. Mihojević
66 B. Süleyman

Coach: E. Parlatan

Hatayspor

4-2-3-1
1 M. Mohamedi G
90 S. Popov D
14 Pablo D
3 A. Katranis D
6 J. Billong D
88 Rúben Ribeiro M
8 R. Aabid M
28 Noss Traoré M
17 D. Akintola M
92 M. Diouf F
9 A. Boupendza M
Bench (10)
10 S. Ilgaz
5 I. Sackey
23 A. Canlı
2 B. Çamoglu
55 Y. Abdioğlu
34 A. Alkan
33 Y. Boyar
16 M. Çaytemel
4 S. Örnek
20 M. Aydın

Coach: M. Sönmez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,18
U
3,13
B ✓
3,48
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,98
U2,5 ✓
1,82
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Volkan Bayarslan · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,40 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.