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Süper Lig
Referee: Ali Palabıyık
Karagumruk
S S T S U
2–0
Full-time
Gaziantep
T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karagumruk Gaziantep
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — Süper Lig · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 41%
38%
43%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
67%
62%
Both score Ø 76%
76%
76%
Average goals
3,0
2,9
Scored
1,6
1,7
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
14 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 7
1 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Karagumruk 8. · Gaziantep 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fenerbahce 22 15 3 4 +21 48
2 Galatasaray 22 14 3 5 +28 45
3 Besiktas 21 14 2 5 +23 44
4 Alanyaspor 22 11 5 6 +16 38
5 Trabzonspor 21 10 6 5 +3 36
6 Gaziantep 21 9 8 4 +9 35
7 Hatayspor 22 10 5 7 +7 35
8 Karagumruk 21 8 7 6 +4 31
9 Antalyaspor 21 7 8 6 -5 29
10 Yeni Malatyaspor 21 7 7 7 +1 28
11 Kasimpasa 22 7 5 10 -8 26
12 Rizespor 22 6 8 8 -9 26
13 Goztep 21 6 7 8 +4 25
14 Sivasspor 22 5 10 7 -6 25
15 Buyuksehyr 22 6 6 10 -13 24
16 Konyaspor 20 6 5 9 +0 23
17 Kayserispor 22 6 5 11 -11 23
18 Erzurumspor 22 5 6 11 -15 21
19 Genclerbirligi 21 5 4 12 -21 19
20 Ankaragücü 21 5 3 13 -10 18
21 Denizlispor 21 4 5 12 -18 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Karagumruk Gaziantep
Lucas Biglia 🟨
41′
Andrea Bertolacci 🟨
45′
45′
🟨 Kevin Mirallas
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 K. Özer
↦ N. Dicko
J. Durmaz 🔁
↦ L. Castro
58′
1–0 A. Ndao
58′
2–0 F. Borini
K. Altınay
64′
65′
🔁 André
↦ Jefferson
72′
🔁 B. Başacıkoğlu
↦ O. Ceylan
A. Sobiech 🔁
↦ K. Ademi
77′
E. Çolak 🔁
↦ A. Ndao
78′
84′
🔁 André Sousa
↦ Osama Rashid
84′
🔁 Junior Maranhão
↦ G. Vural
Y. Salibur 🔁
↦ F. Borini
87′
V. Arveladze 🔁
↦ A. Bertolacci
87′
89′
🟨 Papy Djilobodji
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Karagumruk

4-1-4-1
93 A. Özer G
5 E. Roco D
29 J. Balkovec D
4 K. Altınay D
37 G. Campi D
6 L. Biglia M
89 L. Castro M
91 A. Bertolacci M
18 A. Ndao M
16 F. Borini M
90 K. Ademi F
Bench (10)
71 J. Durmaz
9 A. Sobiech
96 E. Çolak
19 Y. Salibur
24 V. Arveladze
3 A. Erdem
11 M. Erdinç
22 F. Kuruçuk
12 Y. Aygün
27 S. Ahmetoğlu

Coach: A. Canel

Gaziantep

5-3-2
1 G. Güvenç G
6 A. Toșca D
3 P. Djilobodji D
16 P. Olkowski D
17 O. Ceylan D
27 K. Mirallas F
11 G. Vural D
44 A. Maxim M
32 Osama Rashid M
8 Jefferson M
94 N. Dicko F
Bench (10)
7 K. Özer
9 André
14 B. Başacıkoğlu
28 André Sousa
13 Junior Maranhão
20 Z. Kožulj
4 U. Zengin
71 M. Bozan
15 E. Ersoy
26 M. Cihan

Coach: Sá Pinto

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,37
U
3,35
B
2,91
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,66
U2,5 ✓
2,20
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Ali Palabıyık · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.