Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Inter
Napoli
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Napoli
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | +20 | 32 |
| 2 |
Milan
|
13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | +14 | 32 |
| 3 |
Inter
|
12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +16 | 25 |
| 4 |
Atalanta
|
13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | +10 | 25 |
| 5 |
Lazio
|
13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 21 |
| 6 |
Fiorentina
|
13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | +3 | 21 |
| 7 |
Juventus
|
13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 21 |
| 8 |
Roma
|
12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | +6 | 19 |
| 9 |
Bologna
|
13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 18 |
| 10 |
Verona
|
12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 16 |
| 11 |
Empoli
|
12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 16 |
| 12 |
Sassuolo
|
13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -1 | 15 |
| 13 |
Venezia
|
13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 15 |
| 14 |
Torino
|
12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | +3 | 14 |
| 15 |
Udinese
|
12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -3 | 14 |
| 16 |
Sampdoria
|
13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 12 |
| 17 |
Spezia
|
13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -16 | 11 |
| 18 |
Genoa
|
12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -7 | 9 |
| 19 |
Cagliari
|
13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -13 | 7 |
| 20 |
Salernitana
|
13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | -18 | 7 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Škriniar
D
A. Bastoni
D
I. Perišić
M
H. Çalhanoğlu
M
N. Barella
M
Lautaro Martínez
F
Coach: S. Inzaghi
G. Di Lorenzo
D
A. Rrahmani
D
P. Zieliński
M
Fabián Ruiz
M
A. Zambo Anguissa
M
L. Insigne
M
V. Osimhen
F
Coach: L. Spalletti
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Milan
Inter
Inter
Udinese
Empoli
Inter
Inter
Juventus
Lazio
Inter
P Valeri · 55 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.