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Serie A
Referee: M Irrati
Genoa
U T U U U
0–2
Full-time
Roma
T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genoa Roma
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
This season — Serie A · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 29%
8%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
75%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
75%
58%
Average goals
3,4
3,0
Scored
1,4
1,8
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%
1 Shots 19
1 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genoa 18. · Roma 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 13 10 2 1 +19 32
2 Milan 13 10 2 1 +14 32
3 Inter 13 8 4 1 +17 28
4 Atalanta 13 7 4 2 +10 25
5 Lazio 13 6 3 4 +4 21
6 Fiorentina 13 7 0 6 +3 21
7 Juventus 13 6 3 4 +3 21
8 Roma 12 6 1 5 +6 19
9 Bologna 13 5 3 5 -5 18
10 Verona 12 4 4 4 +4 16
11 Empoli 12 5 1 6 -5 16
12 Sassuolo 13 4 3 6 -1 15
13 Venezia 13 4 3 6 -7 15
14 Torino 12 4 2 6 +3 14
15 Udinese 12 3 5 4 -3 14
16 Sampdoria 13 3 3 7 -8 12
17 Spezia 13 3 2 8 -16 11
18 Genoa 12 1 6 5 -7 9
19 Cagliari 13 1 4 8 -13 7
20 Salernitana 13 2 1 10 -18 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genoa Roma
Andrea Cambiaso 🟨
32′
40′
🟨 Jordan Veretout
Half-time 0–0
Milan Badelj 🟨
54′
Hernani 🔁
↦ G. Pandev
63′
74′
🔁 F. Ohene-Gyan
↦ E. Shomurodov
Stefano Sabelli 🟨
78′
82′
F. Ohene-Gyan 0–1
H. Mkhitaryan
F. Bianchi 🔁
↦ D. Biraschi
84′
P. Ghiglione 🔁
↦ S. Sabelli
84′
87′
🔁 C. Smalling
↦ M. Kumbulla
89′
🟨 Felix Afena-Gyan
P. Galdames 🔁
↦ M. Badelj
90′
A. Buksa 🔁
↦ S. Sturaro
90′
93′
🔁 E. Bove
↦ L. Pellegrini
94′
F. Ohene-Gyan 0–2
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Genoa

3-5-2
57 S. Sirigu G
5 A. Masiello D
2 S. Sabelli M
14 D. Biraschi D
15 J. Vásquez D
50 A. Cambiaso M
47 M. Badelj M
27 S. Sturaro M
65 N. Rovella M
19 G. Pandev F
20 C. Ekuban F
Bench (12)
33 Hernani
24 F. Bianchi
18 P. Ghiglione
99 P. Galdames
44 A. Buksa
11 V. Behrami
90 M. Portanova
1 A. Šemper
66 L. Serpe
22 F. Marchetti
94 A. Touré
3 Z. Vanheusden

Coach: A. Shevchenko

Roma

3-1-4-2
1 Rui Patrício G
2 R. Karsdorp M
23 G. Mancini D
24 M. Kumbulla D
3 Ibañez D
77 H. Mkhitaryan M
17 J. Veretout M
7 L. Pellegrini M
92 S. El Shaarawy M
14 E. Shomurodov F
9 T. Abraham F
Bench (12)
64 F. Ohene-Gyan
6 C. Smalling
52 E. Bove
87 Daniel Fuzato
11 Carles Pérez
55 E. Darboe
19 B. Reynolds
21 Borja Mayoral
22 N. Zaniolo
65 F. Tripi
42 A. Diawara
59 N. Zalewski

Coach: José Mourinho

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,74
U
4,09
B ✓
1,69
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,61
U2,5 ✓
2,31
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Irrati · 54 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.