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Serie A

Referee: P Giacomelli

Salernitana

T T S T T

0–2

Full-time

Sampdoria

T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salernitana Sampdoria

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,8

3,8

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,8

2,5

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-1,2

This season — Serie A · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,6

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

42%

58%

Average goals

3,0

3,3

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

2,2

2,1

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,8

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

54% Possession 46%

18 Shots 13

2 Shots on target 6

7 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

13 Corners 3

0 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 19

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Salernitana 20. · Sampdoria 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	12	10	2	0	+20	32
2	Milan	13	10	2	1	+14	32
3	Inter	12	7	4	1	+16	25
4	Atalanta	13	7	4	2	+10	25
5	Lazio	13	6	3	4	+4	21
6	Fiorentina	13	7	0	6	+3	21
7	Juventus	13	6	3	4	+3	21
8	Roma	12	6	1	5	+6	19
9	Bologna	12	5	3	4	-4	18
10	Verona	12	4	4	4	+4	16
11	Empoli	12	5	1	6	-5	16
12	Sassuolo	13	4	3	6	-1	15
13	Torino	12	4	2	6	+3	14
14	Udinese	12	3	5	4	-3	14
15	Venezia	12	3	3	6	-8	12
16	Spezia	13	3	2	8	-16	11
17	Genoa	12	1	6	5	-7	9
18	Sampdoria	12	2	3	7	-10	9
19	Cagliari	13	1	4	8	-13	7
20	Salernitana	12	2	1	9	-16	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lazio	7	5	1	1	+10	16
2	Milan	6	5	1	0	+9	16
3	Napoli	6	5	1	0	+9	16
4	Bologna	6	4	1	1	+5	13
5	Roma	6	4	1	1	+5	13
6	Verona	6	4	0	2	+6	12
7	Fiorentina	6	4	0	2	+5	12
8	Inter	5	3	2	0	+11	11
9	Torino	6	3	1	2	+6	10
10	Juventus	6	3	1	2	+1	10
11	Atalanta	7	2	3	2	+2	9
12	Udinese	7	2	3	2	-1	9
13	Sassuolo	7	2	2	3	+0	8
14	Venezia	5	2	1	2	+0	7
15	Spezia	6	2	1	3	-1	7
16	Cagliari	7	1	2	4	-3	5
17	Sampdoria	7	1	2	4	-7	5
18	Salernitana	6	1	1	4	-7	4
19	Empoli	7	1	1	5	-9	4
20	Genoa	5	0	3	2	-2	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	6	5	1	0	+11	16
2	Atalanta	6	5	1	0	+8	16
3	Milan	7	5	1	1	+5	16
4	Inter	7	4	2	1	+5	14
5	Empoli	5	4	0	1	+4	12
6	Juventus	7	3	2	2	+2	11
7	Fiorentina	7	3	0	4	-2	9
8	Sassuolo	6	2	1	3	-1	7
9	Roma	6	2	0	4	+1	6
10	Genoa	7	1	3	3	-5	6
11	Udinese	5	1	2	2	-2	5
12	Lazio	6	1	2	3	-6	5
13	Venezia	7	1	2	4	-8	5
14	Bologna	6	1	2	3	-9	5
15	Verona	6	0	4	2	-2	4
16	Sampdoria	5	1	1	3	-3	4
17	Torino	6	1	1	4	-3	4
18	Spezia	7	1	1	5	-15	4
19	Salernitana	6	1	0	5	-9	3
20	Cagliari	6	0	2	4	-10	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.