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Süper Lig
Referee: T Numanoğlu
Gaziantep
T S T S U
2–1
Full-time
Alanyaspor
S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gaziantep Alanyaspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
This season — Süper Lig · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 41%
35%
47%
Points per game
1,3
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
47%
47%
Both score Ø 47%
47%
47%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,6
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
14 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 3
3 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gaziantep 14. · Alanyaspor 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Trabzonspor 18 14 3 1 +22 45
2 Konyaspor 18 10 6 2 +16 36
3 Buyuksehyr 18 10 2 6 +10 32
4 Ad. Demirspor 18 8 5 5 +5 29
5 Hatayspor 18 9 2 7 +3 29
6 Fenerbahce 17 8 4 5 +6 28
7 Alanyaspor 17 8 3 6 -1 27
8 Sivasspor 18 6 8 4 +9 26
9 Besiktas 17 7 4 6 +2 25
10 Karagumruk 17 7 4 6 -1 25
11 Galatasaray 18 6 6 6 -1 24
12 Giresunspor 18 6 4 8 +1 22
13 Antalyaspor 18 6 4 8 -4 22
14 Gaziantep 17 6 4 7 -4 22
15 Kayserispor 17 5 5 7 -4 20
16 Altay 18 5 3 10 -7 18
17 Rizespor 18 5 2 11 -16 17
18 Goztep 17 3 5 9 -9 14
19 Yeni Malatyaspor 17 4 2 11 -16 14
20 Kasimpasa 18 2 6 10 -11 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gaziantep Alanyaspor
Doğan Erdoğan 🟨
15′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 F. Soyalp
56′
62′
João Novais 1–1
T. Bingöl
O. Ceylan 🔁
↦ A. Maxim
70′
A. Merkel 🔁
↦ F. Soyalp
77′
C. Şahin 🔁
↦ João Figueiredo
78′
1–2 F. Diédhiou
own goal
78′
83′
🔁 K. Babacar
↦ T. Bingöl
83′
🔁 E. Bekiroglu
↦ F. Aksoy
85′
🔁 Candeias
↦ E. Karaca
N. Dicko 🔁
↦ M. Demir
87′
M. Cihan 🔁
↦ S. Kitsiou
87′
90′
🟨 Khouma Babacar
90′
🔁 A. Ildız
↦ João Novais
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Gaziantep

5-3-2
1 G. Güvenç G
45 S. Caulker D
6 A. Toșca D
3 P. Djilobodji D
70 S. Kitsiou D
11 H. Pehlivan D
44 A. Maxim M
5 F. Soyalp M
21 D. Erdoğan M
10 M. Demir F
25 João Figueiredo F
Bench (10)
17 O. Ceylan
52 A. Merkel
77 C. Şahin
94 N. Dicko
26 M. Cihan
4 U. Zengin
7 K. Özer
18 A. El Messaoudi
15 E. Ersoy
71 M. Bozan

Coach: E. Bulut

Alanyaspor

4-1-4-1
1 S. Kırıntılı G
19 N. Milunović D
25 M. Mevlja D
24 Juanfran D
20 F. Aksoy M
7 E. Karaca M
18 João Novais M
75 T. Bingöl D
6 U. Güneş M
14 F. Diédhiou F
91 Davidson M
Bench (10)
10 K. Babacar
11 E. Bekiroglu
21 Candeias
8 A. Ildız
30 Y. Karagöz
28 Marafona
34 İ. Zehir
3 A. Gülay
70 O. Aydın
35 F. Bayır

Coach: B. Korkmaz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,34
U
3,42
B
2,90
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,83
U2,5
1,97
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Numanoğlu · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.