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Süper Lig
Referee: E Özdamar
Karagumruk
S T T T S
1–1
Full-time
Fenerbahce
S U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karagumruk Fenerbahce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,7
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,7
This season — Süper Lig · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 44%
41%
47%
Points per game
1,5
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
53%
65%
Both score Ø 62%
53%
71%
Average goals
2,9
2,9
Scored
1,4
1,6
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

28% Possession 72%
2 Shots 29
2 Shots on target 14
0 Blocked shots 7
13 Goalkeeper saves 1
0 Corners 5
0 Offside 3
6 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
2 Red cards 0
The table before the match Karagumruk 10. · Fenerbahce 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Trabzonspor 18 14 3 1 +22 45
2 Konyaspor 18 10 6 2 +16 36
3 Buyuksehyr 18 10 2 6 +10 32
4 Ad. Demirspor 18 8 5 5 +5 29
5 Hatayspor 18 9 2 7 +3 29
6 Fenerbahce 17 8 4 5 +6 28
7 Alanyaspor 17 8 3 6 -1 27
8 Sivasspor 18 6 8 4 +9 26
9 Besiktas 17 7 4 6 +2 25
10 Karagumruk 17 7 4 6 -1 25
11 Galatasaray 18 6 6 6 -1 24
12 Giresunspor 18 6 4 8 +1 22
13 Antalyaspor 18 6 4 8 -4 22
14 Gaziantep 17 6 4 7 -4 22
15 Kayserispor 17 5 5 7 -4 20
16 Altay 18 5 3 10 -7 18
17 Rizespor 18 5 2 11 -16 17
18 Goztep 17 3 5 9 -9 14
19 Yeni Malatyaspor 17 4 2 11 -16 14
20 Kasimpasa 18 2 6 10 -11 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Karagumruk Fenerbahce
1–0 A. Pešić
A. Musa
31′
Burak Bekaroğlu 🟥
37′
Caner Erkin 🟥
38′
40′
M. Özil 1–1
Half-time 1–1
J. Balkovec 🔁
↦ Y. Karamoh
46′
D. Luckassen 🔁
↦ A. Bertolacci
46′
J. Durmaz 🔁
↦ A. Pešić
61′
63′
🔁 S. Dursun
↦ D. Pelkas
Adnan Ugur 🟨
67′
72′
🟨 İrfan Can Kahveci
E. Öztümer 🔁
↦ A. Ugur
74′
78′
🔁 M. Zajc
↦ J. Sosa
Y. Salibur 🔁
↦ A. Musa
82′
87′
🔁 D. Rossi
↦ İ. Kahveci
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Karagumruk

2 E. Viviano G
88 C. Erkin D
87 E. Zukanović D
26 V. Hedenstad D
86 B. Bekaroğlu D
6 L. Biglia M
91 A. Bertolacci M
77 A. Ugur M
72 A. Pešić F
7 A. Musa F
92 Y. Karamoh F
Bench (10)
29 J. Balkovec
25 D. Luckassen
10 J. Durmaz
8 E. Öztümer
93 Y. Salibur
14 E. Tatlı
30 S. Dursun
21 U. Yuvakuran
9 E. Mor
16 F. Borini

Fenerbahce

4-2-3-1
35 B. Özer G
37 F. Novák D
30 N. Sangaré D
41 Attila Szalai D
3 Kim Min-Jae D
10 M. Özil M
5 J. Sosa M
17 İ. Kahveci M
14 D. Pelkas M
8 M. Yandaş M
13 E. Valencia F
Bench (10)
19 S. Dursun
26 M. Zajc
9 D. Rossi
21 B. Osayi-Samuel
54 E. Çetin
27 Miguel Crespo
4 S. Aziz
23 M. Gümüşkaya
77 B. Kapacak
20 Luiz Gustavo

Coach: Z. Göle

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,27
U ✓
3,49
B
2,13
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,82
U2,5 ✓
1,98
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Özdamar · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.