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Ligue 1
Referee: F Letexier
Marseille
U S S T S
1–1
Full-time
Reims
U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Marseille Reims
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,3
1,8
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
0,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 17/18 matches
Win Ø 41%
53%
28%
Points per game
1,9
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
35%
39%
Both score Ø 49%
41%
56%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

73% Possession 27%
14 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 4
0 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 6
4 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Marseille 2. · Reims 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 18 14 3 1 +22 45
2 Marseille 17 9 5 3 +11 32
3 Rennes 18 9 4 5 +17 31
4 Nice 18 9 4 5 +11 31
5 Montpellier 18 8 4 6 +6 28
6 Lens 18 7 6 5 +6 27
7 Strasbourg 18 7 5 6 +10 26
8 Monaco 18 7 5 6 +5 26
9 Angers 18 6 7 5 +2 25
10 Nantes 18 7 4 7 +1 25
11 Lille 18 6 7 5 -1 25
12 Lyon 17 6 6 5 +0 24
13 Brest 18 6 6 6 -2 24
14 Reims 18 5 7 6 +0 22
15 Bordeaux 18 3 8 7 -12 17
16 Clermont 18 4 5 9 -12 17
17 Troyes 18 4 4 10 -10 16
18 Metz 18 3 6 9 -16 15
19 Lorient 18 3 6 9 -16 15
20 St Etienne 18 2 6 10 -22 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Marseille Reims
Valentin Rongier 🟨
28′
Gerson 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 B. Locko
↦ I. Kebbal
61′
🔁 M. Adeline
↦ N. Mbuku
61′
🔁 H. Ekitike
↦ E. Touré
K. De La Fuente 🔁
↦ A. Milik
67′
75′
H. Ekitike 0–1
G. Konan
B. Dieng 🔁
↦ Gerson
79′
81′
🟨 Moreto Cassama
Dimitri Payet 🟨
85′
Ahmadou Bamba Dieng 🟥
85′
87′
🔁 I. Diakité
↦ Moreto Cassamá
89′
ℹ️ Hugo Ekitike
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Pol Lirola 🔁
↦ D. Ćaleta-Car
92′
94′
🟨 Yunis Abdelhamid
Dimitri Payet ℹ️
VAR: Penalty awarded
95′
96′
🟨 Andrew Gravillon
98′
🟨 Andrew Gravillon
98′
🟥 Andrew Gravillon
1–1 D. Payet
98′
Boubacar Kamara 🟨
99′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Marseille

3-4-3
16 Pau López G
15 D. Ćaleta-Car D
14 Luan Peres D
4 B. Kamara M
2 W. Saliba D
10 D. Payet F
21 V. Rongier M
8 Gerson M
17 C. Ünder F
6 M. Guendouzi M
9 A. Milik F
Bench (9)
20 K. De La Fuente
12 B. Dieng
29 Pol Lirola
22 P. Gueye
30 S. Mandanda
23 J. Amavi
5 L. Balerdi
3 Álvaro González
11 Luis Henrique

Coach: J. Sampaoli

Reims

3-4-3
1 P. Rajković G
5 Y. Abdelhamid D
32 T. Foket M
6 A. Gravillon D
3 G. Konan M
29 M. Mbow D
23 Moreto Cassamá M
20 I. Kebbal F
26 D. Lopy M
11 N. Mbuku F
7 E. Touré F
Bench (9)
28 B. Locko
35 M. Adeline
22 H. Ekitike
36 I. Diakité
27 P. Koffi
30 N. Penneteau
34 K. Doumbia
19 M. van Bergen
33 N. Cervantes

Coach: Óscar García

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,68
U ✓
3,74
B
5,44
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,17
U2,5 ✓
1,70
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Letexier · 176 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.