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La Liga

Referee: Alejandro Hernández

Granada

T U S U S

2–1

Full-time

Ath Madrid

S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Granada Ath Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,5

3,3

Scored

1,7

Conceded

1,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,0

This season — La Liga · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 36%

24%

47%

Points per game

1,1

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

47%

65%

Both score Ø 62%

65%

59%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,6

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

40% Possession 60%

6 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 7

1 Offside 6

17 Free kicks against 7

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Granada 15. · Ath Madrid 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	18	13	4	1	+24	43
2	Sevilla	18	11	5	2	+16	38
3	Betis	18	10	3	5	+11	33
4	Vallecano	18	9	3	6	+8	30
5	Ath Madrid	17	8	5	4	+8	29
6	Sociedad	18	8	5	5	+0	29
7	Barcelona	18	7	7	4	+7	28
8	Valencia	18	7	7	4	+4	28
9	Villarreal	18	6	7	5	+6	25
10	Ath Bilbao	18	5	9	4	+2	24
11	Espanol	18	6	5	7	-1	23
12	Osasuna	18	5	7	6	-5	22
13	Celta	18	5	5	8	-2	20
14	Mallorca	18	4	8	6	-10	20
15	Granada	17	4	7	6	-4	19
16	Getafe	18	3	6	9	-8	15
17	Elche	18	3	6	9	-9	15
18	Alaves	18	4	3	11	-14	15
19	Cadiz	18	2	8	8	-16	14
20	Levante	18	0	8	10	-17	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vallecano	9	8	1	0	+16	25
2	Sevilla	9	7	2	0	+13	23
3	Real Madrid	9	6	3	0	+13	21
4	Barcelona	10	6	2	2	+8	20
5	Espanol	9	6	2	1	+7	20
6	Betis	9	5	2	2	+9	17
7	Villarreal	9	5	2	2	+8	17
8	Valencia	9	4	4	1	+6	16
9	Ath Madrid	8	4	3	1	+6	15
10	Sociedad	9	4	3	2	+0	15
11	Ath Bilbao	9	4	2	3	+2	14
12	Mallorca	9	2	6	1	+1	12
13	Granada	8	3	2	3	+0	11
14	Getafe	9	3	2	4	+0	11
15	Elche	8	2	4	2	-1	10
16	Alaves	9	3	1	5	-5	10
17	Celta	10	2	2	6	-4	8
18	Osasuna	9	1	5	3	-6	8
19	Levante	9	0	6	3	-6	6
20	Cadiz	9	0	5	4	-8	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	9	7	1	1	+11	22
2	Betis	9	5	1	3	+2	16
3	Sevilla	9	4	3	2	+3	15
4	Ath Madrid	9	4	2	3	+2	14
5	Osasuna	9	4	2	3	+1	14
6	Sociedad	9	4	2	3	+0	14
7	Celta	8	3	3	2	+2	12
8	Valencia	9	3	3	3	-2	12
9	Ath Bilbao	9	1	7	1	+0	10
10	Cadiz	9	2	3	4	-8	9
11	Barcelona	8	1	5	2	-1	8
12	Villarreal	9	1	5	3	-2	8
13	Granada	9	1	5	3	-4	8
14	Mallorca	9	2	2	5	-11	8
15	Elche	10	1	2	7	-8	5
16	Vallecano	9	1	2	6	-8	5
17	Alaves	9	1	2	6	-9	5
18	Getafe	9	0	4	5	-8	4
19	Espanol	9	0	3	6	-8	3
20	Levante	9	0	2	7	-11	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.