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Eredivisie

Referee: M Nagtegaal

Ajax

S S S T S

5–0

Full-time

For Sittard

T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax For Sittard

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,7

Scored

2,3

1,0

Conceded

0,3

2,7

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-1,7

This season — Eredivisie · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 45%

71%

18%

Points per game

2,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

53%

71%

Both score Ø 42%

12%

71%

Average goals

3,2

3,5

Scored

3,0

1,1

Conceded

0,2

2,4

Goal diff per game

+2,8

-1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

66% Possession 34%

27 Shots 6

14 Shots on target 0

6 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 7

14 Corners 2

2 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 6

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajax 2. · For Sittard 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	17	13	1	3	+20	40
2	Ajax	17	12	3	2	+47	39
3	Feyenoord	18	12	3	3	+25	39
4	Twente	17	9	4	4	+6	31
5	Vitesse	16	9	2	5	-1	29
6	Utrecht	16	8	4	4	+11	28
7	AZ Alkmaar	16	9	1	6	+10	28
8	Cambuur	18	9	1	8	-7	28
9	Nijmegen	18	7	4	7	-2	25
10	Heerenveen	17	7	4	6	-3	25
11	Go Ahead Eagles	17	6	3	8	-8	21
12	Groningen	18	4	7	7	-7	19
13	Heracles	18	5	3	10	-5	18
14	Willem II	18	5	3	10	-18	18
15	Waalwijk	17	3	6	8	-11	15
16	For Sittard	17	3	4	10	-22	13
17	Sparta Rotterdam	17	2	6	9	-12	12
18	Zwolle	18	1	3	14	-23	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	9	7	1	1	+15	22
2	AZ Alkmaar	9	7	1	1	+14	22
3	PSV Eindhoven	8	7	0	1	+13	21
4	Utrecht	8	6	2	0	+16	20
5	Ajax	9	6	1	2	+30	19
6	Heracles	10	5	2	3	+3	17
7	Twente	8	4	3	1	+4	15
8	Go Ahead Eagles	9	4	0	5	+0	12
9	Cambuur	9	4	0	5	-3	12
10	Heerenveen	9	3	2	4	-4	11
11	Vitesse	7	3	1	3	-4	10
12	Waalwijk	9	3	1	5	-8	10
13	Willem II	9	3	1	5	-8	10
14	Groningen	8	1	6	1	+1	9
15	Nijmegen	8	2	2	4	-1	8
16	For Sittard	8	2	2	4	-11	8
17	Sparta Rotterdam	9	1	4	4	-5	7
18	Zwolle	9	1	2	6	-7	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	8	6	2	0	+17	20
2	PSV Eindhoven	9	6	1	2	+7	19
3	Vitesse	9	6	1	2	+3	19
4	Feyenoord	9	5	2	2	+10	17
5	Nijmegen	10	5	2	3	-1	17
6	Twente	9	5	1	3	+2	16
7	Cambuur	9	5	1	3	-4	16
8	Heerenveen	8	4	2	2	+1	14
9	Groningen	10	3	1	6	-8	10
10	Go Ahead Eagles	8	2	3	3	-8	9
11	Utrecht	8	2	2	4	-5	8
12	Willem II	9	2	2	5	-10	8
13	AZ Alkmaar	7	2	0	5	-4	6
14	Waalwijk	8	0	5	3	-3	5
15	Sparta Rotterdam	8	1	2	5	-7	5
16	For Sittard	9	1	2	6	-11	5
17	Heracles	8	0	1	7	-8	1
18	Zwolle	9	0	1	8	-16	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.