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Serie A

Referee: M Fabbri

Sassuolo

S U U S U

0–3

Full-time

Bologna

S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sassuolo Bologna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

100%

33%

Average goals

3,8

2,2

Scored

2,2

0,8

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,5

This season — Serie A · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 36%

33%

39%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

83%

56%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,2

3,1

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,6

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

61% Possession 39%

13 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 5

2 Offside 7

13 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sassuolo 11. · Bologna 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	18	13	4	1	+33	43
2	Napoli	18	12	3	3	+22	39
3	Milan	18	12	3	3	+16	39
4	Atalanta	19	11	5	3	+14	38
5	Juventus	19	10	4	5	+10	34
6	Roma	18	10	1	7	+10	31
7	Fiorentina	18	10	1	7	+9	31
8	Lazio	18	8	4	6	+3	28
9	Empoli	18	8	3	7	-2	27
10	Torino	18	7	4	7	+5	25
11	Sassuolo	18	6	6	6	+2	24
12	Bologna	18	7	3	8	-7	24
13	Verona	18	6	5	7	+2	23
14	Udinese	18	4	8	6	-2	20
15	Sampdoria	18	5	4	9	-8	19
16	Venezia	18	4	5	9	-14	17
17	Spezia	18	3	4	11	-21	13
18	Genoa	19	1	8	10	-18	11
19	Cagliari	19	1	7	11	-23	10
20	Salernitana	18	2	2	14	-31	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	8	6	2	0	+18	20
2	Lazio	9	6	2	1	+12	20
3	Torino	10	6	2	2	+9	20
4	Fiorentina	9	6	1	2	+11	19
5	Napoli	9	6	1	2	+11	19
6	Milan	9	6	1	2	+8	19
7	Roma	9	6	1	2	+5	19
8	Verona	9	5	1	3	+6	16
9	Juventus	9	5	1	3	+4	16
10	Bologna	10	5	1	4	+2	16
11	Atalanta	9	3	3	3	+3	12
12	Sassuolo	9	3	3	3	+1	12
13	Udinese	9	2	5	2	-1	11
14	Empoli	9	3	1	5	-6	10
15	Spezia	9	2	3	4	-2	9
16	Sampdoria	10	2	3	5	-7	9
17	Venezia	8	2	2	4	-3	8
18	Cagliari	10	1	4	5	-7	7
19	Genoa	9	0	4	5	-9	4
20	Salernitana	9	1	1	7	-16	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Atalanta	10	8	2	0	+11	26
2	Inter	10	7	2	1	+15	23
3	Napoli	9	6	2	1	+11	20
4	Milan	9	6	2	1	+8	20
5	Juventus	10	5	3	2	+6	18
6	Empoli	9	5	2	2	+4	17
7	Roma	9	4	0	5	+5	12
8	Sassuolo	9	3	3	3	+1	12
9	Fiorentina	9	4	0	5	-2	12
10	Sampdoria	8	3	1	4	-1	10
11	Udinese	9	2	3	4	-1	9
12	Venezia	10	2	3	5	-11	9
13	Lazio	9	2	2	5	-9	8
14	Bologna	8	2	2	4	-9	8
15	Verona	9	1	4	4	-4	7
16	Genoa	10	1	4	5	-9	7
17	Torino	8	1	2	5	-4	5
18	Salernitana	9	1	1	7	-15	4
19	Spezia	9	1	1	7	-19	4
20	Cagliari	9	0	3	6	-16	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.