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Eredivisie

Referee: D Makkelie

Willem II

T T T T T

0–1

Full-time

Nijmegen

U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II Nijmegen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,5

2,8

Scored

0,5

1,3

Conceded

3,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-2,5

-0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 32%

29%

35%

Points per game

1,1

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

71%

53%

Both score Ø 56%

59%

53%

Average goals

3,1

2,9

Scored

1,1

1,4

Conceded

2,1

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%

13 Shots 13

1 Shots on target 5

7 Blocked shots 7

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 2

2 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 0

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Willem II 13. · Nijmegen 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	17	13	1	3	+20	40
2	Ajax	17	12	3	2	+47	39
3	Feyenoord	17	11	3	3	+22	36
4	Twente	17	9	4	4	+6	31
5	Vitesse	16	9	2	5	-1	29
6	Utrecht	16	8	4	4	+11	28
7	AZ Alkmaar	16	9	1	6	+10	28
8	Cambuur	17	9	0	8	-7	27
9	Heerenveen	16	7	4	5	+0	25
10	Nijmegen	17	6	4	7	-3	22
11	Go Ahead Eagles	17	6	3	8	-8	21
12	Groningen	18	4	7	7	-7	19
13	Willem II	17	5	3	9	-17	18
14	Heracles	17	5	2	10	-5	17
15	Waalwijk	17	3	6	8	-11	15
16	For Sittard	17	3	4	10	-22	13
17	Sparta Rotterdam	17	2	6	9	-12	12
18	Zwolle	18	1	3	14	-23	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	9	7	1	1	+15	22
2	AZ Alkmaar	9	7	1	1	+14	22
3	PSV Eindhoven	8	7	0	1	+13	21
4	Utrecht	8	6	2	0	+16	20
5	Ajax	9	6	1	2	+30	19
6	Heracles	9	5	1	3	+3	16
7	Twente	8	4	3	1	+4	15
8	Go Ahead Eagles	9	4	0	5	+0	12
9	Cambuur	9	4	0	5	-3	12
10	Heerenveen	8	3	2	3	-1	11
11	Vitesse	7	3	1	3	-4	10
12	Willem II	8	3	1	4	-7	10
13	Waalwijk	9	3	1	5	-8	10
14	Groningen	8	1	6	1	+1	9
15	Nijmegen	8	2	2	4	-1	8
16	For Sittard	8	2	2	4	-11	8
17	Sparta Rotterdam	9	1	4	4	-5	7
18	Zwolle	9	1	2	6	-7	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	8	6	2	0	+17	20
2	PSV Eindhoven	9	6	1	2	+7	19
3	Vitesse	9	6	1	2	+3	19
4	Twente	9	5	1	3	+2	16
5	Cambuur	8	5	0	3	-4	15
6	Feyenoord	8	4	2	2	+7	14
7	Heerenveen	8	4	2	2	+1	14
8	Nijmegen	9	4	2	3	-2	14
9	Groningen	10	3	1	6	-8	10
10	Go Ahead Eagles	8	2	3	3	-8	9
11	Utrecht	8	2	2	4	-5	8
12	Willem II	9	2	2	5	-10	8
13	AZ Alkmaar	7	2	0	5	-4	6
14	Waalwijk	8	0	5	3	-3	5
15	Sparta Rotterdam	8	1	2	5	-7	5
16	For Sittard	9	1	2	6	-11	5
17	Heracles	8	0	1	7	-8	1
18	Zwolle	9	0	1	8	-16	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.