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Süper Lig
Referee: A Karaoğlan
Goztep
S T T T T
2–3
Full-time
Kasimpasa
S T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Goztep Kasimpasa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,3
4,0
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,3
This season — Süper Lig · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 26%
26%
26%
Points per game
1,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
59%
52%
Both score Ø 67%
70%
63%
Average goals
2,7
2,9
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

51% Possession 49%
8 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 4
3 Offside 5
25 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Goztep 17. · Kasimpasa 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Trabzonspor 27 20 6 1 +31 66
2 Konyaspor 27 14 7 6 +13 49
3 Buyuksehyr 27 14 4 9 +13 46
4 Fenerbahce 27 13 7 7 +11 46
5 Ad. Demirspor 28 12 9 7 +14 45
6 Besiktas 27 12 8 7 +6 44
7 Alanyaspor 27 12 7 8 +8 43
8 Hatayspor 27 13 3 11 -1 42
9 Karagumruk 27 11 6 10 -7 39
10 Kayserispor 27 10 8 9 +0 38
11 Gaziantep 27 10 6 11 -3 36
12 Galatasaray 27 9 8 10 -2 35
13 Sivasspor 27 8 10 9 +1 34
14 Giresunspor 28 9 5 14 -3 32
15 Antalyaspor 27 8 8 11 -7 32
16 Kasimpasa 27 7 8 12 -3 29
17 Goztep 27 7 6 14 -9 27
18 Altay 27 7 4 16 -12 25
19 Rizespor 28 6 5 17 -25 23
20 Yeni Malatyaspor 28 5 5 18 -25 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Goztep Kasimpasa
Atınç Nukan 🟨
-5′
5′
J. Muleka 0–1
H. Hajradinović
1–1 F. Di Santo
C. Ndiaye
7′
Cherif Ndiaye ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
9′
Aytaç Kara 🟨
32′
Half-time 1–1
H. Akbunar 🔁
↦ F. Di Santo
46′
48′
J. Muleka 1–2
Wilker Ángel 🟨
62′
66′
🔁 U. Bozok
↦ M. Fall
71′
🟨 Jackson Muleka
A. Jahović 🔁
↦ O. Tannane
73′
B. Emir 🔁
↦ F. Moubandje
79′
Y. Kayan 🔁
↦ A. Kara
79′
S. Aydoğdu 🔁
↦ A. Nukan
79′
79′
U. Bozok 1–3
J. Muleka
80′
🔁 A. Engin
↦ J. Muleka
2–3 C. Ndiaye
H. Akbunar
80′
Soner Aydoğdu 🟨
82′
86′
🟨 Ertuğrul Taşkıran
89′
🔁 R. Aabid
↦ V. Eysseric
89′
🔁 U. Spajić
↦ H. Hajradinović
99′
🟨 Tarkan Serbest
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Goztep

3-4-3
1 İ. Eğribayat G
21 F. Moubandje M
33 A. Nukan D
40 W. Ángel D
15 D. Arslanagić D
2 K. Alıcı M
88 A. Kara M
5 O. Nwobodo M
26 F. Di Santo F
34 O. Tannane F
9 C. Ndiaye F
Bench (10)
7 H. Akbunar
18 A. Jahović
41 B. Emir
30 Y. Kayan
8 S. Aydoğdu
43 D. Tijanič
23 A. Çankaya
12 K. Pirić
77 M. Paluli
11 Lourency

Coach: N. El Maestro

Kasimpasa

4-1-4-1
1 E. Taşkıran G
4 R. Donk D
94 F. Hadërgjonaj D
18 E. Elmalı D
13 V. Eysseric M
15 T. Serbest D
10 H. Hajradinović M
12 M. Ben Ouannes M
34 D. Haspolat M
70 M. Fall M
40 J. Muleka F
Bench (10)
19 U. Bozok
17 A. Engin
9 R. Aabid
93 U. Spajić
26 M. Yıldırım
28 T. Torun
7 M. Trávník
22 E. Canpolat
25 T. Břečka
23 H. Tekin

Coach: Ü. Şengül

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,35
U
3,36
B ✓
2,98
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,84
U2,5
1,96
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Karaoğlan · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.