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Bundesliga

Referee: F Zwayer

RB Leipzig

S T S S S

1–1

Full-time

Freiburg

S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

RB Leipzig Freiburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,8

Scored

2,7

1,5

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 48%

50%

46%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

54%

58%

Both score Ø 58%

58%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

2,1

1,6

Conceded

1,2

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

72% Possession 28%

14 Shots 4

5 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 1

1 Offside 5

8 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match RB Leipzig 4. · Freiburg 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	24	19	1	4	+49	58
2	Dortmund	24	16	2	6	+27	50
3	Leverkusen	24	13	5	6	+24	44
4	RB Leipzig	24	12	4	8	+22	40
5	Freiburg	24	11	7	6	+13	40
6	Hoffenheim	24	12	4	8	+11	40
7	Union Berlin	24	10	7	7	+0	37
8	FC Koln	24	9	9	6	-2	36
9	Mainz	24	10	4	10	+6	34
10	Ein Frankfurt	24	8	7	9	-3	31
11	Bochum	24	8	5	11	-9	29
12	Wolfsburg	24	8	4	12	-11	28
13	M'gladbach	24	7	6	11	-16	27
14	Augsburg	25	6	8	11	-14	26
15	Bielefeld	25	5	10	10	-11	25
16	Hertha	24	6	5	13	-29	23
17	Stuttgart	24	4	7	13	-17	19
18	Greuther Furth	24	3	5	16	-40	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	12	10	0	2	+26	30
2	Dortmund	12	10	0	2	+21	30
3	RB Leipzig	12	9	0	3	+20	27
4	Mainz	12	8	3	1	+17	27
5	Hoffenheim	12	8	2	2	+14	26
6	FC Koln	12	7	3	2	+5	24
7	Union Berlin	12	7	3	2	+4	24
8	Leverkusen	12	7	2	3	+14	23
9	Freiburg	12	6	4	2	+9	22
10	Bochum	12	6	3	3	+6	21
11	M'gladbach	12	5	3	4	+0	18
12	Augsburg	12	4	4	4	-2	16
13	Hertha	12	4	3	5	-7	15
14	Wolfsburg	12	4	2	6	-4	14
15	Ein Frankfurt	12	3	4	5	-2	13
16	Bielefeld	13	2	7	4	-5	13
17	Greuther Furth	12	3	4	5	-6	13
18	Stuttgart	12	3	3	6	-5	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	12	9	1	2	+23	28
2	Leverkusen	12	6	3	3	+10	21
3	Dortmund	12	6	2	4	+6	20
4	Freiburg	12	5	3	4	+4	18
5	Ein Frankfurt	12	5	3	4	-1	18
6	Hoffenheim	12	4	2	6	-3	14
7	Wolfsburg	12	4	2	6	-7	14
8	RB Leipzig	12	3	4	5	+2	13
9	Union Berlin	12	3	4	5	-4	13
10	Bielefeld	12	3	3	6	-6	12
11	FC Koln	12	2	6	4	-7	12
12	Augsburg	13	2	4	7	-12	10
13	M'gladbach	12	2	3	7	-16	9
14	Bochum	12	2	2	8	-15	8
15	Hertha	12	2	2	8	-22	8
16	Mainz	12	2	1	9	-11	7
17	Stuttgart	12	1	4	7	-12	7
18	Greuther Furth	12	0	1	11	-34	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.