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2. Bundesliga

St Pauli

T U S T S

3–1

Full-time

Karlsruhe

T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Pauli Karlsruhe

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,8

3,0

Scored

1,8

1,7

Conceded

2,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 44%

54%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

79%

71%

Both score Ø 69%

63%

75%

Average goals

3,5

3,2

Scored

2,0

1,7

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

15 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 2

6 Corners 5

12 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Pauli 3. · Karlsruhe 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	25	14	5	6	+20	47
2	Werder Bremen	24	13	6	5	+14	45
3	St Pauli	24	13	5	6	+13	44
4	Hamburg	24	10	11	3	+20	41
5	Schalke 04	24	12	5	7	+18	41
6	Nurnberg	24	11	6	7	+2	39
7	Heidenheim	25	11	6	8	-1	39
8	Paderborn	25	9	9	7	+9	36
9	Karlsruhe	24	8	9	7	+5	33
10	Regensburg	24	9	5	10	+5	32
11	Holstein Kiel	25	8	7	10	-9	31
12	Hannover	24	8	7	9	-9	31
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	24	7	6	11	-4	27
14	Dresden	24	7	5	12	-9	26
15	Sandhausen	24	6	8	10	-15	26
16	Hansa Rostock	24	6	7	11	-11	25
17	Erzgebirge Aue	24	3	7	14	-25	16
18	Ingolstadt	24	3	6	15	-23	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	11	8	2	1	+16	26
2	Heidenheim	12	7	4	1	+8	25
3	Hamburg	13	6	6	1	+12	24
4	Schalke 04	12	7	2	3	+12	23
5	Darmstadt	12	7	2	3	+11	23
6	Karlsruhe	13	5	5	3	+6	20
7	Nurnberg	12	6	2	4	+3	20
8	Werder Bremen	11	5	4	2	+9	19
9	Regensburg	13	5	3	5	+5	18
10	Dresden	12	5	2	5	+2	17
11	Holstein Kiel	13	5	2	6	-5	17
12	Hannover	12	4	4	4	-3	16
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	12	3	4	5	+0	13
14	Paderborn	13	2	5	6	-3	11
15	Hansa Rostock	12	2	3	7	-9	9
16	Erzgebirge Aue	12	2	2	8	-13	8
17	Ingolstadt	12	1	4	7	-10	7
18	Sandhausen	11	1	4	6	-13	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Werder Bremen	13	8	2	3	+5	26
2	Paderborn	12	7	4	1	+12	25
3	Darmstadt	13	7	3	3	+9	24
4	Nurnberg	12	5	4	3	-1	19
5	Sandhausen	13	5	4	4	-2	19
6	Schalke 04	12	5	3	4	+6	18
7	St Pauli	13	5	3	5	-3	18
8	Hamburg	11	4	5	2	+8	17
9	Hansa Rostock	12	4	4	4	-2	16
10	Hannover	12	4	3	5	-6	15
11	Regensburg	11	4	2	5	+0	14
12	Holstein Kiel	12	3	5	4	-4	14
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	12	4	2	6	-4	14
14	Heidenheim	13	4	2	7	-9	14
15	Karlsruhe	11	3	4	4	-1	13
16	Dresden	12	2	3	7	-11	9
17	Erzgebirge Aue	12	1	5	6	-12	8
18	Ingolstadt	12	2	2	8	-13	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.