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Ligue 2
Dijon
S T T U T
1–0
Full-time
Caen
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dijon Caen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
This season — Ligue 2 · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 33%
35%
31%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
50%
42%
Both score Ø 48%
50%
46%
Average goals
2,5
2,4
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

7 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 3
7 Corners 4
12 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dijon 13. · Caen 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Toulouse 26 15 9 2 +37 54
2 Paris FC 27 15 7 5 +17 52
3 Ajaccio 26 14 6 6 +10 48
4 Auxerre 26 12 9 5 +11 45
5 Sochaux 26 12 8 6 +5 44
6 Le Havre 26 9 11 6 +1 38
7 Nimes 27 10 6 11 -3 36
8 Niort 26 10 5 11 +1 35
9 Pau FC 26 10 5 11 -2 35
10 Guingamp 26 8 10 8 -5 34
11 Amiens 26 7 12 7 +10 33
12 Caen 26 8 8 10 +4 32
13 Dijon 26 9 3 14 -6 30
14 Rodez 26 7 9 10 -6 30
15 Valenciennes 26 7 9 10 -9 30
16 Bastia 26 6 11 9 +0 29
17 Quevilly Rouen 26 7 8 11 -12 29
18 Dunkerque 26 7 6 13 -11 27
19 Grenoble 26 7 4 15 -16 25
20 Nancy 26 4 8 14 -26 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,33
U
3,00
B
3,30
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,45
U2,5 ✓
1,53
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.