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Premiership
Referee: W Collum
Dundee United
U S U U T
2–2
Full-time
Hearts
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee United Hearts
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
1,5
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
This season — Premiership · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 40%
31%
48%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
28%
38%
Both score Ø 42%
38%
45%
Average goals
1,9
2,4
Scored
0,8
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

35% Possession 65%
8 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 5
3 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 7
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dundee United 6. · Hearts 3. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 29 22 4 3 +45 70
2 Rangers 29 20 7 2 +35 67
3 Hearts 29 14 7 8 +11 49
4 Livingston 29 10 7 12 -3 37
5 Hibernian 29 9 9 11 -2 36
6 Dundee United 29 9 8 12 -7 35
7 Motherwell 29 9 8 12 -13 35
8 Ross County 29 8 9 12 -5 33
9 St Mirren 28 7 12 9 -13 33
10 Aberdeen 29 8 8 13 -4 32
11 ST Johnstone 29 5 8 16 -18 23
12 Dundee 28 5 7 16 -26 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Nov -21 Hearts – Dundee United 5–2 28. Aug -21 Dundee United – Hearts 0–2

Match report

Dundee United Hearts
1′
⚽ L. Boyce 0–1
G. Mackay-Steven
8′
🔁 A. Cochrane
↦ G. Mackay-Steven
23′
🟨 Craig Halkett
30′
🔁 P. Haring
↦ C. Devlin
Calum Butcher 🟨
32′
39′
🔁 A. Halliday
↦ A. Cochrane
40′
🟨 Ellis Simms
L. Neilson 🔁
↦ R. Edwards
44′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 J. Ginnelly
↦ N. Atkinson
1–1 L. Smith ⚽
N. Clark
46′
Kevin McDonald 🟨
54′
2–1 N. Clark ⚽
57′
61′
🔁 T. Sibbick
↦ J. Souttar
65′
🟨 Josh Ginnelly
A. Spörle 🔁
↦ S. McMann
76′
81′
⚽ C. Halkett 2–2
B. McKay
Ross Graham 🟨
82′
Marc McNulty 🟨
85′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Dundee United

3-5-2
1 B. Siegrist G
12 R. Edwards D
33 S. McMann M
2 L. Smith M
29 R. Graham D
6 K. McDonald M
18 C. Butcher D
7 I. Niskanen M
23 I. Harkes M
10 N. Clark F
9 M. McNulty F
Bench (9)
20 L. Neilson
3 A. Spörle
52 C. Moore
26 C. Mochrie
58 M. Anim Cudjoe
17 A. Meekison
13 C. Eriksson
53 R. MacLeod
15 T. Akinola

Coach: T. Courts

Hearts

4-2-3-1
1 C. Gordon G
3 S. Kingsley D
4 J. Souttar D
19 C. Halkett D
12 N. Atkinson D
11 G. Mackay-Steven M
6 B. Baningime M
14 C. Devlin M
10 L. Boyce M
18 B. McKay M
20 E. Simms F
Bench (9)
17 A. Cochrane
5 P. Haring
16 A. Halliday
30 J. Ginnelly
21 T. Sibbick
8 A. McEneff
13 R. Stewart
15 T. Moore
9 B. Woodburn

Coach: R. Neilson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,69
🔒
U ✓
3,30
🔒
B
2,06
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,17
🔒
U2,5
1,67
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

W Collum · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.