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Pro League
Referee: E Lambrechts
Cercle Brugge
T U T S U
2–2
Full-time
Genk
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cercle Brugge Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
This season — Pro League · 31/24 matches
Win Ø 45%
39%
50%
Points per game
1,4
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
48%
58%
Both score Ø 60%
61%
58%
Average goals
2,7
3,4
Scored
1,5
2,1
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
17 Shots 17
6 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
11 Corners 2
3 Offside 5
10 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cercle Brugge 9. · Genk 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 25 19 3 3 +43 60
2 Anderlecht 26 16 8 2 +41 56
3 Antwerp 26 16 4 6 +19 52
4 Club Brugge 24 15 5 4 +19 50
5 Charleroi 26 13 6 7 +10 45
6 Gent 25 12 7 6 +17 43
7 Kortrijk 31 11 10 10 +5 43
8 Mechelen 27 13 4 10 +0 43
9 Cercle Brugge 31 12 6 13 +7 42
10 St Truiden 32 12 6 14 -5 42
11 Genk 24 12 4 8 +19 40
12 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 30 10 10 10 -2 40
13 Standard 30 9 8 13 -13 35
14 Oostende 30 10 5 15 -23 35
15 Waregem 31 8 8 15 -26 32
16 Eupen 31 7 8 16 -17 29
17 Seraing 29 7 2 20 -32 23
18 Seraing United 29 7 2 20 -32 23
19 Beerschot VA 31 5 4 22 -30 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cercle Brugge Genk
1–0 R. Matondo
36′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Trésor
↦ K. Thorstvedt
46′
🔁 T. Bongonda
↦ J. Paintsil
46′
🔁 A. Ouattara
↦ P. Hrošovský
2–0 S. Miangué
D. Hotič
51′
52′
T. Bongonda 2–1
56′
B. Heynen 2–2
Á. Preciado
T. Somers 🔁
↦ O. Deman
70′
R. Decostere 🔁
↦ S. Miangué
81′
Sousa 🔁
↦ C. Vanhoutte
86′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Cercle Brugge

4-3-3
21 Warleson G
18 S. Miangué D
4 J. Daland D
2 Vitinho D
22 Leonardo Lopes M
6 E. Utkus D
14 C. Vanhoutte M
23 O. Deman F
10 D. Hotič M
11 R. Matondo F
9 K. Denkey F
Bench (7)
34 T. Somers
8 R. Decostere
3 Sousa
98 F. Kanoute
35 S. Ganvoula
89 S. Bruzzese
19 D. Velkovski

Coach: D. Thalhammer

Genk

4-3-3
26 M. Vandevoordt G
6 S. Juklerød D
33 J. Lucumí D
77 Á. Preciado D
3 Mujaid Sadick D
17 P. Hrošovský M
8 B. Heynen M
42 K. Thorstvedt M
18 P. Onuachu F
7 J. Ito F
28 J. Paintsil F
Bench (7)
11 M. Trésor
10 T. Bongonda
4 A. Ouattara
40 T. Leysen
2 M. McKenzie
35 A. Németh
23 D. Muñoz

Coach: B. Storck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,88
U ✓
3,40
B
2,37
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,82
U2,5
1,96
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Lambrechts · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.