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Championship
Referee: G Eltringham
Swansea
S T S T S
3–1
Full-time
Coventry
S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Swansea Coventry
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
This season — Championship · 33/35 matches
Win Ø 41%
36%
46%
Points per game
1,3
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
52%
49%
Both score Ø 47%
39%
54%
Average goals
2,4
2,5
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

53% Possession 47%
8 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 4
4 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Swansea 17. · Coventry 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fulham 36 24 7 5 +57 79
2 Huddersfield 36 18 11 7 +18 65
3 Bournemouth 32 18 8 6 +24 62
4 Blackburn 36 17 9 10 +14 60
5 Sheffield United 34 17 7 10 +16 58
6 Coventry 35 16 9 10 +11 57
7 Luton 33 16 8 9 +12 56
8 QPR 35 16 8 11 +9 56
9 Middlesbrough 34 16 7 11 +10 55
10 Preston 37 13 14 10 +1 53
11 West Brom 36 14 10 12 +7 52
12 Nott'm Forest 32 14 8 10 +12 50
13 Millwall 34 13 10 11 +1 49
14 Blackpool 35 13 9 13 +1 48
15 Stoke 34 13 8 13 +6 47
16 Derby 37 11 12 14 -5 45
17 Swansea 33 12 8 13 -6 44
18 Cardiff 37 12 7 18 -9 43
19 Bristol City 36 12 7 17 -17 43
20 Hull 37 11 7 19 -7 40
21 Reading 36 11 6 19 -23 39
22 Birmingham 37 9 11 17 -18 38
23 Barnsley 34 5 9 20 -24 24
24 Peterboro 34 5 6 23 -45 21
25 Peterborough 34 5 6 23 -45 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Swansea Coventry
8′
🟨 Jake Bidwell
1–0 J. Paterson
M. Obafemi
12′
Kyle Naughton 🟨
17′
2–0 M. Obafemi
F. Downes
40′
Half-time 3–0
3–0 M. Obafemi
M. Grimes
48′
63′
🔁 M. Godden
↦ J. Bidwell
63′
🔁 M. Waghorn
↦ V. Gyökeres
O. Ntcham 🔁
↦ J. Paterson
64′
Ben Cabango 🟨
69′
72′
🟨 Jake Clarke-Salter
J. Latibeaudiere 🔁
↦ M. Obafemi
74′
J. Fulton 🔁
↦ K. Smith
81′
84′
G. Hamer 3–1
M. Waghorn
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Swansea

3-4-2-1
33 A. Fisher G
26 K. Naughton D
23 C. Christie M
3 R. Manning D
5 B. Cabango D
7 K. Smith M
8 M. Grimes M
4 F. Downes M
12 J. Paterson F
9 M. Obafemi F
17 J. Piroe F
Bench (7)
10 O. Ntcham
22 J. Latibeaudiere
6 J. Fulton
18 B. Hamer
14 K. Joseph
30 F. Burns
45 C. Congreve

Coach: R. Martin

Coventry

3-4-2-1
1 S. Moore G
5 K. McFadzean D
27 J. Bidwell M
20 T. Kane M
4 M. Rose D
3 J. Clarke-Salter D
18 I. Maatsen F
8 J. Allen F
14 B. Sheaf M
38 G. Hamer M
17 V. Gyökeres F
Bench (7)
24 M. Godden
9 M. Waghorn
30 F. Tavares
22 J. Reid
7 J. Jones
13 B. Wilson
36 R. Howley

Coach: M. Robins

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,80
U
3,23
B
2,61
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,12
U2,5
1,72
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Eltringham · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.