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Süper Lig
Referee: M Kalkavan
Buyuksehyr
U T S T S
3–1
Full-time
Sivasspor
U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Buyuksehyr Sivasspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 27%
27%
27%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
33%
47%
Both score Ø 47%
27%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

3,59 xG 0,39
64% Possession 36%
15 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 1
2 Offside 3
22 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Buyuksehyr 14. · Sivasspor 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Fenerbahce 15 13 1 1 +29 +28.0 40
2 Galatasaray 15 13 1 1 +22 +22.4 40
3 Kayserispor 15 8 5 2 +7 -2.4 29
4 Trabzonspor 15 8 2 5 +8 -0.4 26
5 Besiktas 15 8 2 5 +3 +5.8 26
6 Ad. Demirspor 15 6 5 4 +8 -0.6 23
7 Antalyaspor 15 6 5 4 +5 -0.3 23
8 Rizespor 15 6 4 5 -5 -5.8 22
9 Kasimpasa 15 6 3 6 -4 -5.8 21
10 Hatayspor 15 4 6 5 +2 +4.3 18
11 Ankaragücü 15 4 6 5 +0 -2.8 18
12 Sivasspor 15 4 6 5 -6 -0.6 18
13 Karagumruk 15 4 5 6 +4 -4.2 17
14 Buyuksehyr 15 4 3 8 -5 -5.9 15
15 Gaziantep 15 5 0 10 -10 -5.4 15
16 Konyaspor 15 3 5 7 -6 -3.9 14
17 Samsunspor 15 4 2 9 -8 +2.8 14
18 Alanyaspor 15 3 5 7 -11 -2.5 14
19 Pendikspor 15 3 4 8 -17 -9.2 13
20 İstanbulspor 15 2 2 11 -16 -13.6 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Buyuksehyr Sivasspor
26′
Samu Sáiz 0–1
C. Charisis
1–1 K. Piątek
45′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 K. Piątek
51′
3–1 D. Pelkas
62′
63′
🟨 Uğur Çiftçi
Dimitrios Pelkas ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
64′
64′
🔁 G. Rodrigues
↦ B. Kapacak
64′
🔁 R. Květ
↦ Y. Konak
64′
🔁 M. Barrow
↦ C. NJie
Deniz Türüç 🟨
65′
78′
🔁 F. Koita
↦ Samu Sáiz
D. Aleksić 🔁
↦ D. Pelkas
81′
S. Gürler 🔁
↦ João Figueiredo
82′
E. İlkhan 🔁
↦ M. Abeid
82′
83′
🟨 Charis Charisis
Ö. Şahiner 🔁
↦ L. Dubois
89′
E. Kartsev 🔁
↦ B. Özcan
92′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Buyuksehyr

4-1-4-1
1 V. Babacan G
15 L. Dubois D
5 Léo Duarte D
27 O. Ba D
6 Lucas Lima D
10 B. Özcan M
23 D. Türüç M
19 M. Abeid M
14 D. Pelkas M
25 João Figueiredo M
9 K. Piątek F
Bench (10)
8 D. Aleksić
7 S. Gürler
26 E. İlkhan
42 Ö. Şahiner
90 E. Kartsev
17 P. Keny
98 D. Dilmen
21 M. Tekdemir
4 O. Ergün
88 C. Sertel

Coach: Ç. Atan

Sivasspor

4-1-4-1
35 A. Vural G
23 A. Okumuş D
88 C. Osmanpaşa D
14 S. Camara D
3 U. Çiftçi D
72 Y. Konak M
16 B. Kapacak M
8 C. Charisis M
24 Samu Sáiz M
10 C. N'Jie M
9 R. Manaj F
Bench (10)
11 G. Rodrigues
19 R. Květ
77 M. Barrow
55 F. Koita
99 M. Paluli
4 A. Appindangoyé
37 H. Arslan
58 Z. Erdal
15 E. Erentürk
5 A. Parmak

Coach: S. Çetin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,21
U
3,38
B
3,19
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,98
U2,5
1,82
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Kalkavan · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.