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LaLiga2
Referee: Adrián Cordero
Espanol
S T S U U
3–3
Full-time
Burgos
U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Espanol Burgos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
1,7
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
0,8
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 43%
45%
40%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
30%
50%
Both score Ø 45%
45%
45%
Average goals
2,6
2,5
Scored
1,6
1,3
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

68% Possession 32%
14 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 6
3 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Espanol 5. · Burgos 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 20 11 5 4 +18 38
2 Valladolid 20 11 2 7 +3 35
3 Sp Gijon 20 9 7 4 +11 34
4 Ferrol 20 9 7 4 +5 34
5 Espanol 20 9 6 5 +10 33
6 Santander 21 9 6 6 +7 33
7 Eibar 20 9 4 7 +7 31
8 Levante 20 8 7 5 +1 31
9 Tenerife 20 9 3 8 +1 30
10 Oviedo 20 7 8 5 +7 29
11 Burgos 20 8 5 7 +2 29
12 Elche 20 8 5 7 -1 29
13 Mirandes 20 7 6 7 +1 27
14 Zaragoza 20 7 6 7 +0 27
15 Eldense 21 6 8 7 -5 26
16 Albacete 21 6 7 8 -6 25
17 Villarreal B 20 6 5 9 -7 23
18 Andorra 21 6 5 10 -8 23
19 Huesca 20 4 7 9 -5 19
20 Alcorcon 20 4 5 11 -15 17
21 Amorebieta 20 3 6 11 -12 15
22 Cartagena 20 3 6 11 -14 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Espanol Burgos
12′
K. Appin 0–1
Edu Espiau
15′
🟨 Grego Sierra
1–1 M. Braithwaite
20′
Half-time 1–1
Keidi Bare 🟨
46′
46′
🟨 Curro
50′
Grego Sierra 1–2
Curro Sánchez
Javi Puado 🟨
58′
59′
🔁 Dani Ojeda
↦ Álex Bermejo
K. Baldé 🔁
↦ K. Bare
60′
2–2 Sergi Gómez
Javi Puado
64′
75′
Curro Sánchez 2–3
Ander Martín
Jofre Carreras 🔁
↦ Pere Milla
76′
78′
🔁 Miki Muñoz
↦ Curro Sánchez
78′
🔁 Álex Sancris
↦ K. Appin
3–3 Javi Puado
81′
Ramon 🔁
↦ Brian Oliván
82′
Óscar Gil 🔁
↦ O. El Hilali
82′
Óscar Gil 🟨
88′
89′
🔁 Andy Rodríguez
↦ Miguel Atienza
90′
🔁 Borja González
↦ Raúl Navarro
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Espanol

4-4-2
13 Fernando Pacheco G
31 O. El Hilali D
3 Sergi Gómez D
5 Fernando Calero D
14 Brian Oliván D
20 Edu Expósito M
18 Álvaro Aguado M
8 K. Bare M
7 Javi Puado M
22 M. Braithwaite F
11 Pere Milla F
Bench (11)
9 K. Baldé
17 Jofre Carreras
12 Ramon
2 Óscar Gil
34 O. Sadik
36 José Luis Català
26 Joan Puig
19 Salvi Sánchez
27 Roger Martínez
1 Joan García
33 Ángel Fortuño

Coach: Luis Miguel Ramis

Burgos

5-4-1
13 José Antonio Caro G
6 Raúl Navarro D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
14 Unai Elgezabal D
20 Grego Sierra D
8 Ander Martín D
16 Curro Sánchez M
5 Miguel Atienza M
12 K. Appin M
10 Álex Bermejo M
19 Edu Espiau F
Bench (8)
7 Dani Ojeda
22 Miki Muñoz
11 Álex Sancris
17 Andy Rodríguez
2 Borja González
26 S. Rodríguez
27 Javi López
1 L. Badiashile

Coach: Bolo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,69
U ✓
3,55
B
5,26
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,20
U2,5
1,65
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Adrián Cordero · 125 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.