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KNVB Beker
Referee: M Eijgelsheim
DEM
U T S S S
0–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

DEM Excelsior Maassluis
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/3 matches
Win Ø 47%
60%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
60%
33%
Both score Ø 47%
60%
33%
Average goals
2,8
1,3
Scored
1,6
0,7
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,0
This season — KNVB Beker · 3/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
3,0
0,5
Scored
2,3
0,5
Conceded
0,7
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match DEM 2. · Excelsior Maassluis 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 RKAV Volendam 3 3 0 0 +10 9
2 DEM 3 3 0 0 +5 9
3 Quick Boys 3 3 0 0 +4 9
4 Hercules 3 2 1 0 +5 7
5 Groene Ster 3 2 0 1 +6 6
6 De Treffers 2 2 0 0 +6 6
7 GVVV Veenendaal 2 2 0 0 +4 6
8 Sparta Nijkerk 3 2 0 1 +3 6
9 Spakenburg 2 2 0 0 +3 6
10 Hoogeveen 3 2 0 1 +2 6
11 Eemdijk 3 2 0 1 +1 6
12 Ijsselmeervogels 3 2 0 1 +1 6
13 OJC Rosmalen 3 2 0 1 -1 6
14 UNA 3 2 0 1 -1 6
15 Gemert 2 1 1 0 +2 4
16 RKSV Nuenen 2 1 1 0 +2 4
17 SVV Scheveningen 2 1 1 0 +1 4
18 Excelsior Maassluis 2 1 1 0 +1 4
19 SJC Noordwijk 3 1 1 1 -1 4
20 TEC 3 1 1 1 -3 4
21 Almere City 1 1 0 0 +7 3
22 Katwijk 1 1 0 0 +5 3
23 Kloetinge 2 1 0 1 +4 3
24 Heerenveen 1 1 0 0 +4 3
25 VV Scherpenzeel 2 1 0 1 +3 3
26 Blauw Geel 2 1 0 1 +3 3
27 Cambuur 1 1 0 0 +3 3
28 Go Ahead Eagles 1 1 0 0 +3 3
29 GVV Unitas 2 1 0 1 +2 3
30 Nijmegen 1 1 0 0 +2 3
31 Dordrecht 1 1 0 0 +2 3
32 Willem II 1 1 0 0 +2 3
33 Sparta Rotterdam 1 1 0 0 +2 3
34 HHC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
35 Utrecht 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Meerssen 2 1 0 1 +1 3
37 Excelsior 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Noordwijk 2 1 0 1 +1 3
39 Vitesse 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Den Haag 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 AFC Amsterdam 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 For Sittard 1 1 0 0 +1 3
43 FC Eindhoven 1 1 0 0 +1 3
44 Groningen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
45 Harkemase Boys 2 1 0 1 +0 3
46 Hoek 2 1 0 1 +0 3
47 Sportlust '46 2 1 0 1 +0 3
48 De Graafschap 2 1 0 1 +0 3
49 Koninklijke HFC 2 1 0 1 -1 3
50 Westlandia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
51 HVCH 2 1 0 1 -1 3
52 FC Lisse 2 1 0 1 -1 3
53 Csv Apeldoorn 2 1 0 1 -1 3
54 Olde Veste '54 2 1 0 1 -1 3
55 DVS 33 Ermelo 2 1 0 1 -1 3
56 Barendrecht 2 1 0 1 -2 3
57 Staphorst 2 1 0 1 -2 3
58 Rijnvogels 1 0 1 0 +0 1
59 Dovo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 Vvsb 2 0 1 1 -1 1
61 Hsc 21 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 Waalwijk 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 SteDoCo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Den Bosch 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 SC Genemuiden 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Berkum 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 TOGB 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Bon Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 AWC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 AGB 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Veensche Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Kozakken Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 ADO '20 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 URK 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 NAC Breda 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Zwolle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Telstar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Baronie 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 XerxesDZB (Zat) 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Volendam 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 FC OSS 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Rijnsburgse Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 HSV ODIN 59 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Roda 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Jubbega 1 0 0 1 -2 0
86 Chevremont 1 0 0 1 -2 0
87 Kampong 1 0 0 1 -2 0
88 Helmond Sport 1 0 0 1 -2 0
89 HV & CV Quick 1 0 0 1 -2 0
90 FC Emmen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
91 ONS Sneek 1 0 0 1 -2 0
92 Heracles 1 0 0 1 -2 0
93 Nieuwkoop 1 0 0 1 -2 0
94 Purmersteijn 1 0 0 1 -2 0
95 MVV 1 0 0 1 -3 0
96 Avanti '31 1 0 0 1 -3 0
97 VVV Venlo 1 0 0 1 -4 0
98 OSS '20 1 0 0 1 -4 0
99 ACV 1 0 0 1 -4 0
100 SVOD '22 1 0 0 1 -4 0
101 Zwaluw VFC 1 0 0 1 -4 0
102 Blauw Wit '34 1 0 0 1 -4 0
103 Bunde 1 0 0 1 -5 0
104 Groen Wit '62 1 0 0 1 -6 0
105 BOL 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

DEM Excelsior Maassluis
8′
🟨 N. van den Beemt
24′
🟨 K. Dercks
31′
🟨 D. Plank
F. Trieling 🔁
↦ S. Bleiji
42′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 G. Urbanus
E. Altun 🟨
46′
46′
🔁 P. Langedijk
↦ N. van den Beemt
46′
🔁 R. Ouali
↦ D. Plank
67′
G. da Fonseca 0–1
B. Wennekers
69′
🟨 T. Boks
69′
🟨 T. Boks
77′
🟨 P. Langedijk
K. de Goede 🔁
↦ S. Blom
83′
N. Daniels 🔁
↦ B. van Doorneveld
83′
88′
🔁 D. Heuvelman
↦ G. da Fonseca
M. Obioha 🔁
↦ B. Herraez Gallego
90′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

DEM

1 S. Verswijveren
4 S. van Amersfoort
3 T. Verswijveren
2 J. Verswijveren
5 S. Blom
6 B. Herraez Gallego
16 E. Altun
19 B. van Doorneveld
11 S. Bleiji
10 T. de Vries
9 T. Wolters
Bench (9)
13 F. Trieling
21 K. de Goede
20 N. Daniels
15 M. Obioha
22 I. Gomez
17 D. Koster
18 B. Arp
8 U. Kaya
14 J. Calle Solbes

Coach: R. Bouman

Excelsior Maassluis

16 T. van der Kleij
3 K. Ringeling
5 V. Schippers
21 G. Overman
4 G. Urbanus
15 Y. Eisden
17 K. Dercks
14 G. da Fonseca
6 N. van den Beemt
9 B. Wennekers
27 D. Plank
Bench (7)
11 P. Langedijk
7 R. Ouali
26 D. Heuvelman
20 Baset Moshtaq
23 J. Haars
1 T. Boks
25 J. Ringelberg

Coach: S. Jacobs

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.