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Pro League

Referee: M Allaerts

Dender

U U S T T

5–0

Full-time

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

U U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dender Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 92%

100%

83%

Average goals

5,2

3,3

Scored

2,0

1,7

Conceded

3,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 23%

30%

15%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

63%

30%

Both score Ø 60%

67%

52%

Average goals

3,2

2,2

Scored

1,4

1,0

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

2,95 xG 2,03

35% Possession 65%

16 Shots 14

7 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 5

10 Free kicks against 18

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Dender 8. · Oud-Heverlee Leuven 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	28	19	6	3	+39	+36.7	63
2	St. Gilloise	28	18	7	3	+31	+26.9	61
3	Genk	28	17	4	7	+17	+17.0	55
4	Anderlecht	28	15	6	7	+27	+7.7	51
5	Antwerp	27	12	10	5	+17	-2.9	46
6	Charleroi	27	11	8	8	+7	+7.1	41
7	Gent	28	9	8	11	-9	-12.3	35
8	Dender	27	8	9	10	-11	-13.8	33
9	Cercle Brugge	30	8	9	13	-19	-1.6	33
10	Westerlo	28	8	8	12	-1	+0.4	32
11	Standard	28	7	10	11	-15	-12.5	31
12	Mechelen	28	7	9	12	-5	+4.1	30
13	St Truiden	30	7	8	15	-23	-6.5	29
14	Kortrijk	30	8	4	18	-23	-17.2	28
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	27	4	14	9	-7	-6.7	26
16	Beerschot VA	30	4	8	18	-25	-26.4	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	14	11	1	2	+20	+19.5	34
2	Club Brugge	14	10	2	2	+23	+22.8	32
3	Genk	14	10	1	3	+15	+14.8	31
4	Charleroi	14	8	3	3	+11	+7.7	27
5	Anderlecht	14	7	4	3	+17	+5.1	25
6	Cercle Brugge	15	6	5	4	-2	+5.2	23
7	Antwerp	13	6	3	4	+12	+4.0	21
8	St Truiden	15	5	6	4	-2	+1.7	21
9	Westerlo	14	5	5	4	+8	+12.0	20
10	Gent	14	6	2	6	+2	-2.7	20
11	Standard	14	5	4	5	-1	-3.4	19
12	Mechelen	14	4	6	4	+6	+7.5	18
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	14	3	9	2	+3	+1.2	18
14	Beerschot VA	15	4	6	5	-2	-10.2	18
15	Dender	13	4	5	4	+1	-3.6	17
16	Kortrijk	15	5	2	8	-6	-4.0	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	14	9	4	1	+16	+13.9	31
2	St. Gilloise	14	7	6	1	+11	+7.4	27
3	Anderlecht	14	8	2	4	+10	+2.6	26
4	Antwerp	14	6	7	1	+5	-7.0	25
5	Genk	14	7	3	4	+2	+2.2	24
6	Dender	14	4	4	6	-12	-10.2	16
7	Gent	14	3	6	5	-11	-9.5	15
8	Charleroi	13	3	5	5	-4	-0.6	14
9	Westerlo	14	3	3	8	-9	-11.6	12
10	Mechelen	14	3	3	8	-11	-3.4	12
11	Standard	14	2	6	6	-14	-9.1	12
12	Kortrijk	15	3	2	10	-17	-13.2	11
13	Cercle Brugge	15	2	4	9	-17	-6.8	10
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	13	1	5	7	-10	-7.9	8
15	St Truiden	15	2	2	11	-21	-8.2	8
16	Beerschot VA	15	0	2	13	-23	-16.2	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.