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LaLiga2
Referee: Iosu Galech
Eldense
S T T U T
1–0
Full-time
Malaga
T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eldense Malaga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
1,8
Scored
0,5
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 38/38 matches
Win Ø 28%
26%
29%
Points per game
1,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
47%
37%
Both score Ø 45%
47%
42%
Average goals
2,4
2,1
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
17 Shots 5
5 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
24 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Eldense 19. · Malaga 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Elche 39 20 11 8 +20 71
2 Levante 39 19 13 7 +24 70
3 Mirandes 39 20 8 11 +16 68
4 Santander 39 19 10 10 +15 67
5 Oviedo 39 18 12 9 +11 66
6 Almeria 39 17 11 11 +13 62
7 Granada 38 16 11 11 +12 59
8 Huesca 38 16 10 12 +12 58
9 Cordoba 39 14 12 13 +0 54
10 Burgos 39 15 9 15 -5 54
11 La Coruna 39 13 14 12 +8 53
12 Cadiz 39 13 13 13 +0 52
13 Albacete 38 13 12 13 -2 51
14 Sp Gijon 39 12 14 13 +1 50
15 Castellon 39 13 10 16 +0 49
16 Malaga 38 11 16 11 -2 49
17 Eibar 38 12 13 13 -2 49
18 Zaragoza 39 12 12 15 -4 48
19 Eldense 38 10 10 18 -19 40
20 Tenerife 38 8 11 19 -16 35
21 Ferrol 38 5 11 22 -39 26
22 Cartagena 39 5 5 29 -43 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eldense Malaga
7′
🟥 Einar Galilea
31′
🔁 Álex Pastor
↦ Antoñito Cordero
Half-time 0–0
Juanto 🔁
↦ Fran Gámez
46′
Juanto Ortuño 🟨
61′
1–0 Juanto
Sergio Ortuño
62′
67′
🔁 Puga
↦ Diego Murillo
67′
🔁 Manu Molina
↦ Izan Merino
67′
🔁 Dioni
↦ Julen Lobete
Raúl Parra 🔁
↦ Diego Collado
71′
Iván Chapela 🔁
↦ Javi Llabrés
79′
Fede Vico 🔁
↦ S. Gassama
79′
Sergio Ortuño 🟨
81′
84′
🔁 Rafa Rodríguez
↦ David Larrubia
Álex Bernal 🔁
↦ Sergio Ortuño
88′
Juanto Ortuño 🟥
96′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Eldense

4-4-2
1 Dani Martín G
15 Fran Gámez D
4 D. Đumić D
26 M. Barzić D
23 Marc Mateu D
17 Víctor García M
8 Sergio Ortuño M
12 A. Diawara M
10 Javi Llabrés M
22 S. Gassama F
25 Diego Collado F
Bench (12)
11 Juanto
2 Raúl Parra
20 Iván Chapela
19 Fede Vico
21 Álex Bernal
6 Víctor Camarasa
3 Iván Martos
13 Ian Mackay
9 Nacho Quintana
7 M. Diouri
24 David Timor
14 Nacho Monsalve

Coach: José Luis Oltra

Malaga

4-4-2
1 Alfonso Herrero G
16 Diego Murillo D
20 Nélson Monte D
4 Einar Galilea D
18 Dani Sánchez D
26 Antoñito Cordero M
29 Izan Merino M
19 Luismi M
24 Julen Lobete M
10 David Larrubia F
27 Chupe F
Bench (12)
5 Álex Pastor
3 Puga
12 Manu Molina
17 Dioni
37 Rafa Rodríguez
2 Gabilondo
21 Y. Rahmani
23 Sangalli
8 Juanpe
9 R. Baturina
13 Carlos López
14 Víctor García

Coach: Sergio Pellicer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,73
U
3,62
B
4,63
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,05
U2,5 ✓
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Iosu Galech · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.