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Super League
Referee: A Sezos
Panathinaikos
S T U S U
1–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos Asteras Tripolis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
This season — Super League · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 25%
25%
25%
Points per game
1,1
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
2,6
2,8
Scored
0,9
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

9 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 1
5 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Panathinaikos 13. · Asteras Tripolis 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 12 9 3 0 +16 30
2 PAOK 12 8 4 0 +11 28
3 Larisa 13 6 3 4 +2 21
4 OFI Crete 13 6 2 5 +7 20
5 AEK 13 5 4 4 +1 19
6 Aris 11 4 4 3 +5 16
7 Aris Thessalonikis 11 4 4 3 +5 16
8 Xanthi 12 5 1 6 -3 16
9 Volos NFC 13 5 1 7 -8 16
10 Atromitos 11 4 2 5 +2 14
11 Lamia 11 3 4 4 -5 13
12 Panionios 13 3 4 6 -6 13
13 Panathinaikos 12 3 4 5 -9 13
14 Asteras Tripolis 12 3 2 7 -3 11
15 Panetolikos 13 0 4 9 -15 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Panathinaikos Asteras Tripolis
7′
🟨 Dani Suarez
1–0 T. Chatzigiovanis
8′
23′
🟨 Borja Fernández
Half-time 1–0
58′
🟨 Eneko Capilla
60′
🔁 Sito
↦ Dani Suárez
A. Kampetsis 🔁
↦ J. Perea
61′
Dimitrios Kourbelis 🟨
62′
67′
🔁 Xesc Regis
↦ Eneko Jauregi
D. Kolovos 🔁
↦ I. Bouzoukis
79′
79′
🔁 M. Iglesias
↦ Ángel Martínez
Mattias Johansson 🟨
80′
D. Kolovetsios 🔁
↦ T. Chatzigiovanis
88′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Panathinaikos

4-4-2
1 S. Dioudis G
2 M. Johansson D
5 B. Schenkeveld D
12 I. Chatzitheodoridis D
44 A. Poungouras D
21 D. Kourmpelis M
8 C. Donis M
18 I. Bouzoukis M
11 T. Chatzigiovanis F
9 F. Macheda F
19 J. Perea F
Bench (7)
99 A. Kampetsis
7 D. Kolovos
4 D. Kolovetsios
17 U. Bech
15 V. Xenopoulos
16 K. Apostolakis
30 João Nunes

Coach: G. Donis

Asteras Tripolis

4-5-1
1 N. Papadopoulos G
33 Ángel Martínez D
15 Dani Suárez D
34 P. Matricardi D
27 G. Kotsiras D
5 Eneko Capilla M
8 Borja Fernández M
6 José Luis Valiente M
30 J. Barrales F
10 Luis Fernández F
19 Eneko Jauregi F
Bench (7)
40 Sito
11 Xesc Regis
17 M. Iglesias
4 T. Pasalidis
22 K. Panagiotou
12 J. Munafo
93 N. Michael

Coach: Borja Jiménez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,59
U
3,57
B
5,92
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,29
U2,5 ✓
1,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.