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La Liga
Referee: Adrián Cordero
Ath Bilbao
T S U S S
2–0
Full-time
Granada
S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Granada
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
This season — La Liga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 43%
43%
43%
Points per game
1,6
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
21%
36%
Both score Ø 40%
36%
43%
Average goals
1,7
2,7
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
0,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%
14 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 16
5 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ath Bilbao 6. · Granada 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 14 9 4 1 +19 31
2 Sevilla 15 9 3 3 +5 30
3 Barcelona 13 9 1 3 +19 28
4 Sociedad 15 8 2 5 +8 26
5 Ath Madrid 14 6 7 1 +7 25
6 Ath Bilbao 14 6 5 3 +6 23
7 Valencia 15 6 5 4 +1 23
8 Getafe 14 5 6 3 +3 21
9 Granada 14 6 3 5 +2 21
10 Levante 14 6 2 6 +1 20
11 Osasuna 14 4 7 3 +2 19
12 Betis 15 5 4 6 -6 19
13 Villarreal 15 5 3 7 +4 18
14 Alaves 15 5 3 7 -3 18
15 Valladolid 15 4 6 5 -4 18
16 Eibar 15 4 3 8 -12 15
17 Mallorca 15 4 2 9 -9 14
18 Celta 15 3 4 8 -10 13
19 Espanol 14 2 3 9 -16 9
20 Leganes 15 1 3 11 -17 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ath Bilbao Granada
Dani García 🟨
8′
36′
🟨 Domingos Duarte
39′
🟨 Rui Silva
1–0 Raúl García
41′
42′
🟨 Ángel Montoro
Half-time 1–0
Íñigo Córdoba 🟨
48′
Ander Capa 🟨
50′
Oihan Sancet 🟨
53′
57′
🔁 Carlos Fernández
↦ Y. Herrera
Ibai Gómez 🔁
↦ Iñigo Córdoba
65′
67′
🔁 Vadillo
↦ Soldado
Lekue 🔁
↦ Oihan Sancet
72′
Raúl García 🟨
81′
San José 🔁
↦ Raúl García
82′
2–0 Yuri
Unai López
83′
85′
🔁 Y. Eteki
↦ Montoro
90′
🟨 Quini
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Ath Bilbao

4-2-3-1
1 Unai Simon G
21 Ander Capa D
5 Yeray Álvarez D
4 Iñigo Martínez D
17 Yuri Berchiche D
8 Unai López M
14 Dani García M
9 Iñaki Williams M
34 Oihan Sancet M
11 Íñigo Córdoba M
22 Raúl García F
Bench (7)
13 Iago Herrerín
15 Íñigo Lekue
3 Unai Núñez
6 Mikel San José
12 Gaizka Larrazabal
19 Ibai Gómez
25 Asier Villalibre

Coach: Gaizka Garitano

Granada

4-3-3
1 Rui Silva G
16 Víctor Díaz D
22 Domingos Duarte D
5 José Antonio Martinez D
17 Quini D
21 Yangel Herrera M
19 Ángel Montoro M
4 Maxime Gonalons M
10 Antonio Puertas F
9 Roberto Soldado F
23 Darwin Machís F
Bench (7)
13 Aarón Escandell
3 Álex Martínez
15 Carlos Neva
12 Ramon Azeez
7 Álvaro Vadillo
8 Yan Brice
24 Carlos Fernández

Coach: Diego Martínez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,71
U
3,42
B
5,85
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,59
U2,5 ✓
1,50
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Adrián Cordero · 125 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.